Pirates vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Pirates at Mets

5:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

1 - 9

New York Mets

24-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-163	o7.5-117	+135
Mets 24-33	-1.5+138	u7.5-108	-162

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

L.Severino u6.5 Ks (Live)-160

NYM o4.5 Team Total+112

0.56u

NYM -1-110

1.82u

NYM -150

0.25u

Superbook. Bump another 0.25u at -155 or better

NYM -137

0.73u

L.Severino u6.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

0.5u

PIT u3.5 Team Total+100

0.5u

NYM -132 (F5)

0.38u

Update: Bet to -155 after lineups

NYM -132

0.38u

Update: Bet to -155 after lineups

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters had a hard-hit rate of 41% last season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Mets last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 21% since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season -- sixth lowest in MLB.

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Wednesday MLB Props: Three Prop Bets for Today's Slate
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

31% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 36% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Francisco Lindor has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- 13th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 10% this season -- tied for third lowest among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 57% (80/140) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed an OPS of .921 (417 PA's) in the 2023 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .736 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 11-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Mets' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	21-36	10-18	11-18	15-25	6-11
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	24-30-3	15-10-3	9-20	19-19-2	5-11-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	24-33	13-15	11-18	19-21	5-12
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	PIT	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 15th	PIT	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -125
Apr 14th	KC	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -112
Apr 13th	KC	L 7-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	KC -166
Apr 12th	KC	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM -142

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	73	5	4	2
RH.Stratton, P	21	1	1	4
RR.Ryan, P	7	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	30	0.2	2	3
LJ.Fleming, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-3	0	1
3C.Joe, LF	0-3	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0
5E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0
8H.Davis, C	0-2	1	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Severino, P	96	6	4
RJ.Lopez, P	13	1	1
LJ.Diekman, P	15	1	2
RG.Hartwig, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	0	0	2
1J.Wendle, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2S.Marte, DH	1-5	1	1	2
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	2	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-4	1	0	1
7T.Taylor, RF	3-4	1	0	2
8H.Bader, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9Z.Short, 3B	0-3	1	0	0