White Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 17, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice By several critical metrics and recent performances, this matchup sets up for a low-scoring game. Starting with the Chicago White Sox, offensive struggles are glaring. They rank 29th in MLB in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage, sitting dead last in runs scored per game at 3.13 and in plate appearances. They have scored just three runs over their last two games, and it continues to show their problem at the plate. Their lineup strikes out a ton (8.70 K/game, 21st rank) and walks little (2.44 BB/game, 29th rank), severely curtailing them in terms of overall offense. It's been a bit of an up-and-down year for White Sox starter Garrett Crochet. He did allow seven runs in the last game, although his overall season numbers look pretty promising. Crochet is rated at the 93rd percentile in terms of xERA and 91st in terms of xBA, with an outstanding strikeout rate of 33.8%—when he is truly on, he is flat-out dominant. On the Astros' side, they have a quality lineup, but the group has been pretty quiet lately, putting just five runs across in their last two contests. Spencer Arrighetti goes for Houston after a great stretch in which he permitted three or fewer runs in five of his last six starts. He's been pretty good from the mound, as his fastball velocity is in the 92nd percentile and his strikeout rate is in the 84th percentile—that shows he can really dominate such a weak Chicago lineup. Additionally, the team metrics for Houston show some weaknesses that could contribute to the under in ranking low in barrel percentage and hard-hit percentage, which could limit their power against Crochet.

3 signals to the under and average market odds of -122 giving value

+23.5% edge per our Action projections

Flat to -116