Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Rangers at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • Apple TV+

Texas Rangers

41-42

5 - 6

Toronto Blue Jays

44-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
A.Heaney			4.28	5-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 41-42	+1.5-198	o8-107	+104
Blue Jays 44-38	-1.5+163	u8-115	-122

Friday 11:07 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

Over 8-115

0.87u

TEX +103

TEX +105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

A.Heaney u15.5 Outs-140

1.07u

Projection lands at 15.38 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

TOR -125

BP6

A.Heaney u16.5 Outs-121

Under in 13/19 starts. Toronto bats starting to heat up a bit vs lefties (102 wRC+ vs lefties the L30 days). And, they are still above avg with pitches per PA (3.91). Heaney is at 3.93, and has been torched the third time through the order (.846 OPS). Pen is very rested too (Urena available for multiple innings).

Under 8.5-104

0.52u

Bet to 8 (-105)

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- lowest in MLB. The Rangers have answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Corey Seager has a swing rate of 48% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .222 (10-for-45) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier has an OPS of just .541 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kirby Yates has allowed an OPS of just .428 (143 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .450 (27-for-60) against Yusei Kikuchi when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .069 (2-for-29) against Andrew Heaney in his last two starts -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 -- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney's non-fastballs (1,297/2,360) since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 98th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 23-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Blue Jays' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	48-34	25-16	23-18	18-16	30-17
Rangers	44-39	24-17	20-22	21-20	22-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	44-36-2	24-16-1	20-20-1	21-13	22-23-2
Rangers	28-54-1	11-30	17-24-1	13-28	15-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	44-38	25-16	19-22	20-14	24-23
Rangers	41-42	24-17	17-25	27-14	12-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	TB	L 0-13	+1.5 L	O 8	TB -115
Jul 24th	TB	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +102
Jul 23rd	TB	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -130
Jul 21st	DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	TOR -170
Jul 20th	DET	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 8	DET -122

Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

Jon Gray
SP
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Jake Burger
1B
Burger is out with oblique
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out
Wyatt Langford
LF
Langford is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	83	5	4	4
RJ.Hernandez, P	22	1.1	0	1
LJ.Latz, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Sborz, P	30	1.1	2	1
RK.Yates, P	9	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-5	1	0	0
3R.Grossman, LF	2-4	1	0	0
3L.Taveras, CF	0-1	0	0	0
4W.Langford, CF	1-5	1	0	0
4W.Langford, LF	1-5	1	0	0
5A.Garcia, RF	2-4	1	1	3
6N.Lowe, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Heim, C	2-4	0	0	2
8J.Foscue, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Ornelas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	96	4.2	5	5
LG.Cabrera, P	21	1	0	0
RZ.Pop, P	18	1	2	0
LB.Little, P	22	1	0	0
RC.Green, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	2-5	2	0
2J.Turner, DH	2-5	0	0
2S.Berroa, PR	0-0	1	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-2	1	0
4D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	1
5S.Horwitz, 2B	1-4	1	2
6E.Clement, 3B	2-5	0	2
7D.Schneider, LF	1-3	1	0
7D.Varsho, PH	0-1	0	0
7D.Varsho, LF	0-1	0	0
8L.Jimenez, SS	2-3	0	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-4	0	0