Pirates vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - May 31, 2023

Pirates at Giants

7:45 pm • NBCS-BA

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

9 - 4

San Francisco Giants

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-202	o7.5-115	+102
Giants 0-0	-1.5+175	u7.5-105	-120

Wednesday 7:45 p.m.

May 31, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

M.Keller o6.5 Ks-111

M.Keller u6.5 Ks+105

Keller has been a strikeout machine this season and has cleared this in 6 straight games. His underlying metrics support his breakout as he’s throwing more 1st pitch strikes (65%), throwing it in the zone more (49%), and generating a 10% swinging strike rate. While the 10% swinging strike rate is a massive leap for Keller, it’s still not enough to support his current 11.14 K/9 rate. He has also benefited from a 20% called strike rate that will likely regress towards 17% going forward and I think a fair projection for him is a 9.2 K/9 rate going forward. I think this is a good time to sell high on his K rate as his K prop market is a bit inflated at the moment. Projecting this closer to -150

PIT +100

PIT -102

M.Keller o6.5 Ks-120

0.83u

PIT +105

1.05u

PIT +114 (F5)

0.57u

Bet to -101

PIT +0.5 (F5)-122

0.5u

Bet to -135 or add more ML

PIT +115

0.58u

Bet to +106

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The Giants are 7-5 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	76-86	35-46	41-40	35-57	40-28
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	75-80-7	35-45-1	40-35-6	36-55-1	37-25-6
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	81-81	42-39	39-42	49-43	31-37
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 31st	PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -165
May 29th	PIT	W 14-4	-1.5 W	O 8	SF -138
May 28th	@MIL	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -128
May 27th	@MIL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -105
May 27th	@MIL	W 15-1	+1.5 W	O 8	SF +126

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	101	6	8	4
LR.Zastryzny, P	10	0.2	0	0
RD.Moreta, P	3	0.1	0	0
RR.Stephenson, P	15	1	2	0
RY.Ramirez, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	3-4	2	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	1	3
3C.Joe, 1B	3-4	2	1
4R.Castro, 2B	2-4	1	1
5K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	0	2
6J.Suwinski, RF	1-4	0	1
7C. Owings, SS	0-4	0	0
7T.Marcano, PH	0-1	0	0
7T.Marcano, SS	0-1	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	2-3	3	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Wood, P	94	4.1	4	6
RR.Walker, P	17	1.2	1	1
RL.Jackson, P	11	1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	13	1	2	0
RC.Doval, P	19	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	2-5	1	0
2J.Davis, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Yastrzemski, CF	1-3	1	0
3A.Slater, PH	0-1	0	0
3A.Slater, CF	0-1	0	0
4W.Flores, DH	1-4	0	1
5B.Sabol, LF	2-4	2	0
6M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0
7P.Bailey, C	2-4	0	1
8C.Schmitt, SS	1-3	0	1
9B.Wisely, 2B	1-4	0	0