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Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2023

Phillies at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Philadelphia Phillies

29-28
2
2 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28
1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Mitch Keller logoM.KellerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.2113-9
Zack Wheeler logoZ.WheelerPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.6113-6

Phillies at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
29-28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Pirates
30-28
N/A
N/A
N/A
location pinFriday 11:05 p.m.
July 28, 2023
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Phillies vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 42-39-0 (-2.7u)
M.Keller o17.5 Outs-114
1u
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 2-10-0 (-1.1u)
Z.Wheeler o6.5 Ks-150
0.5u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 178-151-12 (+4.6u)
PIT +145 (F5)
0.5u
Need +145
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PHI -1.5+100
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 62-86-1 (+11.6u)
Z.Wheeler o6.5 Ks-145
0.28u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
M.Keller o17.5 Outs-162
$175.00
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 2-10-0 (-1.1u)
M.Keller u17.5 Outs+120
0.6u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 56-63-6 (-5.6u)
PIT +136
1u
Wheeler has Keller by about 3/4 of a run (and the latter has really struggled recently). However, PHI 97/96/63 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days isn't much better than PIT 90/87/104, while PIT has the better defense (6 Runs Prevented) and both pens have similar estimators L30 days, both in the upper half of the league. Add in the home field edge & PHI should be a smaller favorite.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 178-151-12 (+4.6u)
PIT +145
0.5u
Bet to +133
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 19-32-1 (-6.4u)
PHI -155
0.48u
Preview coming for tomorrows game (BetOnline)

Phillies vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo•
    Jul 28, 2023 UTC
  • Phillies vs. Pirates: Multiple Bets to Back Wheeler, Phillies article feature image

    Phillies vs. Pirates: Multiple Bets to Back Wheeler, Phillies

    Jim Turvey•
    Jul 28, 2023 UTC
  • Koerner's MLB Strikeout Projections for Friday article feature image

    Koerner's MLB Strikeout Projections for Friday

    Sean Koerner•
    Jul 28, 2023 UTC
  • 57% Strikeout System for Phillies-Pirates article feature image

    57% Strikeout System for Phillies-Pirates

    Alex Kolodziej•
    Jul 28, 2023 UTC
See more MLB Coverage Right Arrow
Phillies vs. Pirates Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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No props found

Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

Home Logo

Pirates

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates		30-2815-1615-1217-1612-12
Phillies		18-398-2210-1714-264-13

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates		31-25-220-1111-14-221-129-13-2
Phillies		24-31-215-14-19-17-120-19-14-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates		30-2816-1514-1319-1410-14
Phillies		29-2814-1615-1223-176-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 26th@SDW 3-2---
Jul 26th@SDL 1-5---
Jul 25th@SDW 8-4---
Jul 23rd@LAAL 5-7---
Jul 23rd@LAAW 3-0---

Pirates vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

    Phillies Injuries

    • Max Lazar
      RP

      Lazar is out with oblique

      Out

    • Andrew Painter
      SP

      Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.

      Questionable

    • Steward Berroa
      RF

      Berroa is out with shoulder

      Out

    See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
    Phillies vs. Pirates Box Score
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Zack Wheeler logoRZ.Wheeler, P906.2111
    Jeff Hoffman logoRJ.Hoffman, P90.220
    Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P120.200
    Craig Kimbrel logoRC.Kimbrel, P12100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH2-2112
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS0-5000
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-4000
    Nick Castellanos logo4N.Castellanos, RF0-4000
    Bryson Stott logo5B.Stott, 2B2-4000
    J.T. Realmuto logo6J.Realmuto, C1-4000
    Alec Bohm logo7A.Bohm, 3B1-3000
    Brandon Marsh logo8B.Marsh, CF1-3100
    Jake Cave logo9J.Cave, LF0-4000
    Pirates Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Mitch Keller logoRM.Keller, P1085.282
    Ryan Borucki logoLR.Borucki, P121.120
    Jose Hernandez logoLJ.Hernandez, P130.220
    Yerry De los Santos logoRY.De los Santos, P18100
    Carmen Mlodzinski logoRC.Mlodzinski, P10.100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jack Suwinski logo1J.Suwinski, CF0-3000
    Connor Joe logo1C.Joe, PH1-1000
    Liover Peguero logo1L.Peguero, SS0-0000
    Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF1-4100
    Andrew McCutchen logo3A.McCutchen, DH0-3000
    Jiman Choi logo4J. Choi, 1B1-4001
    Henry Davis logo5H.Davis, RF0-3000
    Endy Rodriguez logo6E.Rodriguez, C1-4000
    Jared Triolo logo7J.Triolo, 3B0-3000
    Nick Gonzales logo8N.Gonzales, 2B0-3000
    Alika Williams logo9A.Williams, SS0-2000
    Joshua Palacios logo9J.Palacios, PH1-1000
    Joshua Palacios logo9J.Palacios, CF1-1000

    Phillies vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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    Phillies at Pirates Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Phillies
    29-28
    N/A
    N/A
    Pirates
    30-28
    N/A
    N/A