Pirates vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2023

Pirates at Padres

1:40 am • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

1 - 5

San Diego Padres

32-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
R.Hill			4.76	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Padres 32-24	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

July 26, 2023

Petco ParkSan Diego

B.Snell u7.5 Ks+120

0.6u

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-112

0.5u

M.Machado o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

F.Tatis Jr. o2.5 Total Bases+160

M.Machado o0.5 HR+360

0.36u

M.Machado o1.5 Total Bases+112

0.28u

B.Snell o7.5 Ks-140

0.35u

I’m going to the game so it’s obligatory

SD -1.5 (F5)-110

SD -1.5-132

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-120

$2.40

SD -1.5-130

$2.00

PIT +240

Snell has about a run and a quarter on Hill, but does still walk people and occasionally blow up too often to be this large a fav, despite SD having every edge here. PIT is not terrible v LHP (96 wRC+)

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The Padres are just 10-92 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .315 on breaking pitches this season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Dauri Moreta has thrown his slider 61% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Padres' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	32-24	18-14	14-10	15-13	17-11
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	23-32-1	12-19-1	11-13	10-17-1	13-15
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	32-24	16-16	16-8	16-12	16-12
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	PIT	L 4-8	-	-	-
Jul 23rd	@DET	L 1-3	-	-	-
Jul 22nd	@DET	W 14-3	-	-	-
Jul 21st	@DET	W 5-4	-	-	-
Jul 20th	@TOR	L 0-4	-	-	-

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	83	4.1	3	2
RY.De los Santos, P	28	2	2	0
LA.Perdomo, P	6	0.1	0	1
RD.Moreta, P	25	1.1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Joe, LF	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	0-4	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-3	1	0
5H.Davis, RF	1-4	0	1
6J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0
7N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	0	0
8L.Peguero, SS	0-1	0	0
8J. Choi, PH	0-1	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	0-0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	1-2	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, PH	1-2	0	0
9E.Rodriguez, C	1-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	102	6	4	1
RS.Wilson, P	21	1	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	8	1	0	0
LJ.Hader, P	24	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Machado, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6L.Campusano, DH	1-3	1	0	0
7G.Sanchez, C	3-4	1	1	3
8M.Batten, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0