Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2024

Phillies at Mets

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

12 - 2

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+145	o7.5-105	-125
Mets 7-6	u7	+1.5-175	u7.5-115	+105

Friday 11:10 p.m.

September 20, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Over 7.5-105

0.48u

NYM -102

1.02u

T.Turner To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+110

1.1u

J.Iglesias o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

PHI -105

0.95u

PHI -105

0.95u

Under 7.5-110

#ProSystem . under for winning teams including wind direction and temps Overall: 556-323-48,63% (ROI:21%) Season:8-5-0,62% (ROI:18%)

D.Peterson o1.5 BB-120

D. Peterson ⬆️ 1.5 Walks (-125 @ DraftKings) THE BAT X 📽️: 1.88 Walks Peterson has cleared this mark in 68% of starts this season, averaging over 2 walks per game. He gets a tough matchup today against Philly despite only walking one PHI in his last start. PHI ranks 9th in walk-rate vs LHP over L30. Peterson has some interesting splits too: BB% Home: **10.3%** BB% Away: 8.4% BB% vs RHB: 10.6% BB% vs LHB: 5.1% He gets the home start tonight and let's take a look at the Philly projected lineup: DH K. Schwarber L SS Trea Turner R 1B Bryce Harper L 3B Alec Bohm R RF N. Castellanos R C J. Realmuto R LF B. Marsh L CF Johan Rojas R 2B W. Wilson R So we only get 3 lefties tonight and all 3 of those lefties hold walk-rates over 10%. Before last start vs PHI, he's cleared this mark in 3 starts prior vs Philly in his career. To top it all off, he has yet to have consecutive starts this season under 2 walks and is coming off a 1-walk effort last start.

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

1.3u

PHI -105

0.5u

Bet to -107

PHI -115 (F5)

PHI -104 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -112

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Phillies have struck out 30% over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Kyle Schwarber struck out in 30% of PA's in the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Edwin Diaz had a strikeout rate of 50% in the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 11th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (132/213) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (311/530) against Cristopher Sanchez this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 19th	PHI	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 8	NYM -142
Sep 18th	WSH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 7	NYM -175
Sep 17th	WSH	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -176
Sep 16th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -197
Sep 15th	@PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +114

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	98	5	7	2
RO.Kerkering, P	21	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	15	1	2	0
LT.Gilbert, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	8	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	2	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-5	2	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	4-5	2	1	4
5N.Castellanos, RF	3-5	1	0	2
6J.Realmuto, C	2-5	1	1	2
7E.Sosa, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
8W.Wilson, LF	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	2-5	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	64	3.2	4	4
RA.Ottavino, P	14	0.1	1	3
RH.Brazoban, P	36	1.1	1	2
LA.Young, P	28	1.2	1	0
LD.Young, P	24	1	1	2
RE.Alvarez, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
2S.Marte, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5T.Taylor, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, LF	1-1	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7L.Torrens, C	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Acuna, SS	0-4	0	0	0