Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2024

Phillies at Mets

11:15 pm • FOX

Philadelphia Phillies

22-16

6 - 10

New York Mets

25-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
T.Walker			7.10	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 22-16	+1.5-170	o8-116	+120
Mets 25-14	-1.5+143	u8-103	-142

Thursday 11:15 p.m.

September 19, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM o4.5 Team Total+114

1.14u

NYM -145 (F5)

0.34u

Over 8-110

0.45u

Flat to -115

NYM -134

2.24u

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets are batting .400 with RISP over the last week -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .400 (4-for-10) against Phillies RPs with RISP over the last week -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Phillies vs Mets: Eyeing NYM's First Five Run Line
Justin Perri•
Sep 19, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
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Sep 19, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Bryce Harper is slugging .517 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .493 vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP-- third Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (175 Total Bases / 314 ABs) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .403 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (47/305) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 9-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Mets' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	20-19	11-6	9-13	14-15	6-4
Phillies	19-19	10-9	9-10	14-16	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	15-24	6-11	9-13	15-14	0-10
Phillies	18-20	11-8	7-12	15-15	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	25-14	14-3	11-11	20-9	5-5
Phillies	22-16	13-6	9-10	18-12	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 18th	WSH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 7	NYM -175
Sep 17th	WSH	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -176
Sep 16th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -197
Sep 15th	@PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +114
Sep 14th	@PHI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	PHI +102

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
SP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
SS
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	71	3.1	2	8
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	0.2	0	1
LK.Allard, P	30	2	2	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	15	1	0	1
LT.Banks, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	2	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	0	0	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, CF	2-4	1	0	1
9C.Stevenson, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	86	6	7	3
LD.Young, P	19	0.1	0	3
RR.Garrett, P	10	0.2	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	21	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
1J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	2	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	2	1	3
3M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
3E.Alvarez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Winker, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	2-2	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-1	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	0-1	1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-3	2	1	3
9L.Acuna, SS	1-4	0	0	1