Padres vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2025
Padres at Nationals
10:45 pm • MASNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 4.50 | 0-0 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.82 | 6-11 |
Padres at Nationals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Padres 76-60 | -1.5 | -1.5+114 | o8.5-110 | -153 |
![]() Nationals 53-82 | u8.5 | +1.5-136 | u8.5-110 | +125 |

Nationals ParkWashington
Padres vs. Nationals Expert Picks

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 32-40-1 (-2.2u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
1u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 74-67-5 (-0.5u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
0.5u
I'm going to back both starting pitchers (Dylan Cease and Mike Soroka) for the F5. Washington has the worst bullpen in the Majors so for that reason alone, I'm going to avoid the full game total to reduce the variance introduced by late-game bullpen usage.
Both starting pitchers have outperformed their surface stats, which is the biggest factor for me. Dylan Cease has a 4.88 ERA but a 3.65 xERA. Home runs have been Cease's biggest issue this season (1.31 HR/9 compared to his career rate of 1.09 HR/9), but the Nationals rank just 18th in team ISO against RHP. Mike Soroka has a 5.35 ERA but a 3.21 xERA under the hood. Soroka has also been hurt by the longball this season (1.34 HR/9) but the Padres rank even worse than the Nationals in team ISO at 24th in the Majors.

Picks Office
Last 30d: 83-74-3 (+8.4u)
Under 8.5-105
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X to read the writeup.
WSH +1.5-125
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X to read the writeup.

Andrew A
Last 30d: 5-7-0 (-4.1u)
SD -145
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 70-83-6 (-23.7u)
SD -147
0.68u

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 46-64-1 (-17.6u)
Over 8-114
1u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 91-83-0 (+14.1u)
WSH +140
3u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 104-114-5 (-15.1u)
Under 8.5-102
1.02u
K Control Under Edge
Overall: 214-131-15,62% (ROI:19%)
Season:16-8-1,67% (ROI:28%)

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 185-186-3 (+6.5u)
Over 8.5-104
0.5u
Bet to -120

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 104-114-5 (-15.1u)
SD -154
1u
Post-Break Power Picks - Big Favs
Overall: 61-12-0,84% (ROI:35%)
Padres vs. Nationals Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nationals are 37-31 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Nationals' 67 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nationals vs. Padres Injury Updates

Nationals Injuries
- Josiah GraySP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
- DJ HerzSP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

Padres Injuries
- Joe MusgroveSP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Michael KingSP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Padres vs. Nationals Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 94 | 5.1 | 10 | 0 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 24 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 85 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
![]() | 15 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 9 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | |
![]() | 12 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Nationals Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Padres at Nationals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Padres 76-60 | o4.5-114 | u4.5-114 |
![]() Nationals 53-82 | o3.5-114 | u3.5-114 |