Orioles vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Orioles at Royals

11:40 pm • BSKC

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

0 - 6

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z. Greinke			5.06	2-15
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+104	o9-105	-154
Royals 3-3	+1.5-125	u9-115	+130

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

BAL -1.5+110

KC +122 (F5)

0.61u

Blindly backing Greinke home splits in Kauffman

Over 9-105

0.53u

Bet to -111

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

0.58u

Bet to 5 (-110)

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

Gibson: 4.85 xERA, struggles in both barrel/xSLG with a low K rate Greinke: 6.02 xERA and a .311 (!) xBA /.527 xSLG. Even lower K rate. Should see plenty of offense Both bullpens rank T10 in xFIP

Over 4.5 (F5)-114

1.14u

Over 9-105

1.05u

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The Royals are just 1-13 (.071) at home this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Orioles are 12-1 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Royals are just 5-3 (.625) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.

73% of non-fastball strikeouts for Salvador Perez are located out of the zone since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 78% of Kyle Gibson non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .472 (17-for-36) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 -- first Percentile.

Zack Greinke has a strike rate of 83% (76/92) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (5/33) against Zack Greinke on changeups this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- second Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has allowed a just .077 SLG with RISP this season -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile. Kyle Gibson allowed a SLG of .550 with RISP last season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- sixth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	BAL	L 7-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +158
Apr 30th	@MIN	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIN +185
Apr 29th	@MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC +199
Apr 28th	@MIN	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 8	MIN +242
Apr 27th	@MIN	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	MIN +177

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
John Means
P
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P		74	6.2	0	6
LK.Akin, P		26	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	2-4	0	0	0
5K.Stowers, LF	1-2	0	0	0
5R.McKenna, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.McKenna, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5G.Henderson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Mateo, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.McCann, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.McCann, 1B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ. Greinke, P	44	5	3
RT.Clarke, P	17	1	2
LA.Chapman, P	6	1	0
LA.Garrett, P	18	1	1
RJ.Staumont, P	17	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	1-4	2	0	1
2V.Pasquantino, DH	3-4	1	1	3
3S.Perez, C	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Melendez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5J. Bradley, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6N.Pratto, 1B	3-4	1	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
7M.Duffy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Duffy, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
9K.Isbel, CF	2-3	1	0	1