Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2023

Royals at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

15-15

1 - 7

Minnesota Twins

13-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Mahle			3.16	1-2
Z. Greinke			5.06	2-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 15-15	+1.5-115	o8-107	+177
Twins 13-17	-1.5-105	u8-110	-215

Thursday 11:40 p.m.

April 27, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1.5+100

Under 8-110

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Joey Gallo slugged .810 over the last 30 days -- second best among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Zack Greinke allowed a SLG of .562 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 14th Percentile.

80% of non-fastball strikeouts for Donovan Solano are located out of the zone since last season -- 10th highest among hitters with at least 277 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 80% of Zack Greinke non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (61/173) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

Zack Greinke has walked 2 of 65 right-handed batters (3%) this season -- tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 55% (275/501) against Kyle Wright in 2022 -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 95th Percentile.

Kyle Wright located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (255/521) of the time in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- second Percentile.

The Royals are just 1-18 (.053) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.

The Twins are 8-1 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

The Royals are just 3-9 (.250) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Twins are just 13-33 (.283) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Twins' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	16-15	10-5	6-10	12-10	4-5
Royals	16-15	10-6	6-9	8-5	8-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	11-17-3	5-9-1	6-8-2	8-12-2	3-5-1
Royals	10-20-1	6-10	4-10-1	5-8	5-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	13-18	9-6	4-12	11-11	2-7
Royals	16-15	11-5	5-10	9-4	7-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	NYY	L 6-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -105
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162
Apr 23rd	WSH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -272
Apr 22nd	WSH	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -322

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Willi Castro
2B
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Greinke, P	88	3.2	3	7
RC.Hernandez, P	27	2.1	3	0
RJ.Staumont, P	11	1	2	0
RJ.Cuas, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
3M.Melendez, C	0-4	0	0	0
4F. Reyes, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Isbel, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7H. Dozier, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Lopez, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9J. Bradley, RF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Mahle, P	66	4	6	1
RB.Stewart, P	28	2	3	0
LJ. Moran, P	29	2	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	1-4	1	1	3
2C.Correa, SS	1-3	2	1	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Larnach, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	2-3	2	0	0
8M.Kepler, RF	2-4	0	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	1