Nationals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2024

Nationals at Pirates

10:40 pm • MASN

Washington Nationals

31-29

4 - 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

32-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 31-29	+1.5-198	o8-115	+105
Pirates 32-28	-1.5+167	u8-105	-125

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

September 05, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8-105

J.Wood o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.5u

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+116

$1.16

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

J.Irvin u4.5 Ks+124

0.5u

Under 8.5-110

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

O.Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

1.2u

🌟 Play of the Day -2+ HRR in 9/L11 Home Games -2+ HRR in 8/11 Series Openers @ Home -PIT avg 5.5 Runs/Game @ Home in August -Jake Irvin 6.55 ER over L10 Starts -Crushes Irvin’s pitch mix

WSH +100

Irvin 4.14 SIERA/4.26 xERA, Falter 4.85/5.05 - PIT 88/84/99 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, WAS 92/84/106 - WAS better defense, bullpen and base running.

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Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Nationals over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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Nationals vs. Pirates: Fade These Pitching Staffs
Tony Sartori•
Sep 5, 2024 UTC

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The Nationals are just 10-18 (.357) after a road win this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Porter Hodge has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (182/535) when he's behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% -- 97th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .526 (182 Total Bases / 346 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .374 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .227 (82-for-361) against Bailey Falter with two-strikes since last season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .170 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Nationals	37-22	13-15	24-7	1-2	36-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Nationals	37-19-3	19-7-2	18-12-1	3-0	34-19-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Nationals	30-29	11-17	19-12	1-2	29-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 4th	@CHC	L 0-12	+1.5 L	O 8	CHC +173
Sep 3rd	@CHC	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT -122
Sep 2nd	@CHC	W 5-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT +130
Sep 1st	@CLE	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE +131
Aug 31st	@CLE	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +167

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	87	5	4	6
LJ.La Sorsa, P	20	0.2	2	3
RE.Salazar, P	11	0.1	0	0
RZ.Brzykcy, P	12	1	1	0
RT.Rainey, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Yepez, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
4A.Chaparro, DH	1-4	1	1	3
5J.Tena, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
7J.Young, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Ruiz, C	1-3	0	0	0
9N.Nunez, SS	2-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	94	5	3	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	20	1	0	0
RD.Santana, P	16	1	1	0
RK.Nicolas, P	11	1	0	0
LJ.Wentz, P	26	0.1	1	1
LA.Chapman, P	6	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-5	1	1
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	2	1
3O.Cruz, CF	1-2	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	3
5R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	1
6C.Joe, RF	1-3	2	0
7Y.Grandal, C	1-2	1	1
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	2	1
9B.McKinney, LF	0-2	0	0
9B.De La Cruz, PH	1-2	1	0
9B.De La Cruz, LF	1-2	1	0