Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

32-28

5 - 3

Chicago Cubs

32-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8
J.Jones			4.14	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 32-28	+1.5-180	o7.5-105	+130
Cubs 32-28	-1.5+150	u7.5-115	-155

Monday 11:40 p.m.

September 02, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -155

PIT +130

3.9u

Over 7.5+102

1.02u

CHC -148

J.Jones o5.5 Ks-120

CHC -1.5+152

Under 7.5-120

0.5u

Flat to 7 (-110)

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 6.3 runs per game over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Cubs have allowed 6.5 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 9.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (8 games). The Pirates have allowed 8.6 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (8 games).

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The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Pirates are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Pirates are just 121-9 (.931) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Michael A. Taylor has an OPS of just .527 this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 204 total PA's-- first Percentile. Porter Hodge has allowed an OPS of just .458 (134 PAs) this season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

48% of fastball strikeouts for Bryan Reynolds are located out of the zone since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 48% of Jameson Taillon fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 37 of 764 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 83rd Percentile.

Jared Jones has struck out 31% (62/198) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .436 (312 Total Bases / 715 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 -- eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (140/405) against Jared Jones this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 12-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Cubs' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	24-36	12-17	12-19	15-23	9-13
Pirates	31-29	16-17	15-12	18-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	33-27	15-14	18-13	19-19	14-8
Pirates	33-25-2	22-11	11-14-2	23-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	32-28	18-11	14-17	22-16	10-12
Pirates	32-28	18-15	14-13	21-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 1st	@WSH	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 9	CHC -130
Aug 31st	@WSH	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -112
Aug 30th	@WSH	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -161
Aug 28th	@PIT	W 14-10	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +142
Aug 27th	@PIT	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CHC -125

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	87	6.1	4	3
LJ.Beeks, P	8	0.2	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	15	1	0	0
RD.Santana, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Gonzales, 2B	2-5	1	0	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	1	3
3O.Cruz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8H.Davis, C	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, PH	1-2	1	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	89	7	3	0
RJ.Lopez, P	23	1	2	4
RS.Armstrong, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	2-4	0	0	2
2M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
2P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	2-4	2	1	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0