Pirates vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024

Pirates at Guardians

5:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

32-28

1 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

34-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Cobb			2.76	2-1
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 32-28	+1.5-167	o7.5-115	+131
Guardians 34-27	-1.5+141	u7.5-105	-155

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

September 01, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -155

0.65u

CLE -145

0.69u

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+115

$1.15

J.Ramirez o0.5 HR+525

1.31u

A.Cobb o5.5 Hits Allowed+130

0.77u

M.Keller u17.5 Outs+145

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 3.3 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Guardians have allowed 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .271 with RISP this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .282 (167-for-592) against Pirates RPs with RISP this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are just 2-50 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .694 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .524 (534 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .701 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .490 (805 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (213/360) against Alex Cobb in two-strike counts since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 96th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .904 (229 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 -- first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (126/205) against Alex Cobb when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 15-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Guardians' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	31-30	16-15	15-15	17-20	14-10
Pirates	31-29	16-17	15-12	18-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	30-31	16-15	14-16	19-18	11-13
Pirates	33-25-2	22-11	11-14-2	23-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	34-27	17-14	17-13	21-16	13-11
Pirates	32-28	18-15	14-13	21-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 31st	PIT	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -202
Aug 30th	PIT	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CLE -155
Aug 28th	KC	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -160
Aug 27th	KC	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -165
Aug 26th	KC	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9	KC -142

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	85	5.1	7	3
LR.Borucki, P	11	1	0	2
RK.Nicolas, P	14	0.2	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0
3O.Cruz, DH	0-4	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	0-2	0
6B.De La Cruz, RF	0-3	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0
9H.Davis, C	0-3	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Cobb, P	80	6	6
RC.Smith, P	20	1	1
RH.Gaddis, P	11	1	1
LT.Herrin, P	14	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	2	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
5J.Noel, RF	1-4	0	0	1
6K.Manzardo, DH	2-3	2	2	2
7L.Thomas, CF	3-4	0	0	1
8B.Rocchio, SS	2-4	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0