Mets vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2025

Mets at Padres

1:40 am • SNY
6 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Dylan Cease logoD.CeaseSan Diego Padres logo4.793-10
Frankie Montas logoF.MontasNew York Mets logo5.463-1

Mets at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets
62-45
+1.5
+1.5-192
o8-112
+110
Padres
58-49
u8.5
-1.5+158
u8-111
-131
location pinTuesday 1:40 a.m.
July 29, 2025
PETCO ParkSan Diego
Mets vs. Padres Expert Picks
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 116-125-1 (+2.9u)
NYM +100 (Live)
1.6u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 191-206-3 (-20.3u)
SD -123
0.81u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 36-58-0 (-14.5u)
SD -1.5+162
2u
🔑 Padres -1.5 +162 (FanDuel) 2u Legacy game for Cease. He’s so due for a good outing and has the stuff to be a top pitcher is baseball. Padres need a great game and the Mets are so due for an L. Montas is cooked too.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 164-175-5 (-34.0u)
NYM +110
0.8u
Overachieving Road Dogs (***) Overall: 305-273-0,53% (ROI:15%) Season:13-6-0,68% (ROI:53%) Quiet Road Chalks (***) Overall: 399-395-0,50% (ROI:11%) Season:14-10-0,58% (ROI:33%)
Al’s Analytics
Al’s Analytics
Last 30d: 46-42-1 (+1.4u)
Under 8-112
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 50-90-4 (-2.5u)
F.Montas u4.5 Ks-135
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 98-78-0 (+5.8u)
NYM +112
0.98u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 15-30-0 (-21.5u)
NYM +112
1.5u
Invisible Insider
Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 10-9-0 (+0.1u)
Under 8-108
1u
Premium + free.
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 44-51-6 (-12.2u)
SD -130
1u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 43-50-7 (+24.8u)
SD -130
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 86-73-2 (+21.9u)
Over 8-110
1u
DeadPresPicks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 14-22-0 (+4.7u)
SD -130
0.5u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 71-75-7 (+10.4u)
Under 8-106
1u
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Mets vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

  • Mets vs Padres: Back the Better Pitcher article feature image

    Mets vs Padres: Back the Better Pitcher

    Nick Martin
    Jul 28, 2025 UTC
  • Mets vs Padres: System Backed Over/Under Bet article feature image

    Mets vs Padres: System Backed Over/Under Bet

    The Betting Insider
    Jul 28, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mets vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mets

Public

58%

Bets%

42%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
58-5028-2330-2724-3133-19
Mets
52-5627-2625-3034-4218-14

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
43-61-420-30-123-31-327-26-216-34-2
Mets
47-58-324-27-223-31-136-37-311-21

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
59-4933-1826-3132-2326-26
Mets
62-4637-1625-3049-2713-19

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 27th@STLW 9-2+1.5 WO 9SD +108
Jul 26th@STLW 3-1+1.5 WU 9SD +119
Jul 25th@STLL 0-3-1.5 LU 8.5STL -130
Jul 24th@STLL 7-9+1.5 LO 7.5STL +130
Jul 23rd@MIAL 2-3-1.5 LU 7.5MIA -144

Mets vs. Padres Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Jesse Winker
    LF

    Winker is out with back

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jose Siri
    CF

    Siri is out with leg

    Out

  • Nick Madrigal
    3B

    Madrigal is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    SP

    Scott is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Michael King
    SP

    Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.

    Out

Mets vs. Padres Box Score
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Frankie Montas logoRF.Montas, P834.135
Huascar Brazoban logoRH.Brazoban, P260.201
Rico Garcia logoRR.Garcia, P35240
Ryne Stanek logoRR.Stanek, P12110
Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P160.210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brandon Nimmo logo1B.Nimmo, LF1-5100
Francisco Lindor logo2F.Lindor, SS2-5000
Juan Soto logo3J.Soto, RF0-4100
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B0-4000
Jeff McNeil logo5J.McNeil, CF0-1200
Mark Vientos logo6M.Vientos, DH2-4114
Brett Baty logo7B.Baty, 2B0-3001
Francisco Alvarez logo8F.Alvarez, C0-2000
Ronny Mauricio logo9R.Mauricio, 3B1-4111
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Dylan Cease logoRD.Cease, P1024.295
David Morgan logoRD.Morgan, P40.100
Adrian Morejon logoLA.Morejon, P181.240
Jeremiah Estrada logoRJ.Estrada, P10.100
Jason Adam logoRJ.Adam, P13110
Robert Suarez logoRR.Suarez, P16111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Fernando Tatis logo1F.Tatis, RF1-4100
Luis Arraez logo2L.Arraez, 1B2-5112
Manny Machado logo3M.Machado, 3B2-4200
Jackson Merrill logo4J.Merrill, CF1-4000
Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, SS3-5101
Gavin Sheets logo6G.Sheets, DH0-3000
Jose Iglesias logo6J.Iglesias, PH0-1100
Jake Cronenworth logo7J.Cronenworth, 2B1-4101
Bryce Johnson logo8B.Johnson, LF2-5001
Elias Diaz logo9E.Diaz, C2-5002

Mets vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Mets at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mets
62-45
o3.5-127
u3.5-101
Padres
58-49
o4-108
u4-118