Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Mets at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MLB Network

New York Mets

48-37

2 - 1

Arizona Diamondbacks

41-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Henry			4.15	5-4
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 48-37	-1.5+140	o9-120	-116
Diamondbacks 41-42	+1.5-170	u9-105	-102

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

July 06, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -110

3.3u

ARI +110 (F5)

0.5u

FanDuel 9:13.

ARI -102

0.5u

ARI +100

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases+100

Hey Royal if you’re reading this it’s too late

ARI -115

1.15u

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-110

0.91u

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -108

K.Senga o5.5 Ks+110

1.1u

Senga was bumped from yesterdays start - but that was seemingly so they can get Scherzer one more start on Sunday before the all star break (they weren’t going to have Senga go again on 4 days rest). So I’ll gladly run this back - here’s what I typed up yesterday: Senga is over this line in 12/15 starts - one miss was first game on 4 days rest - but is 7/L7 on 5 days rest, like he has today. ARI is tough on paper (19.6% K% on the season vs righties, 21.6% L14 days). But I think their approach will get them in trouble today. ARI is actually 2nd in called strike %, and will find themselves in plenty of 2 strike counts. While they are typically saved from Ks with two strike contact, seeing Senga’s forkball for the first time has flummoxed essentially every team - and he loves unleashing it with 2 strikes. Opponents have 55 Ks in 96 PAs this season, with a 58.8% whiff rate.

K.Senga o5.5 Ks+108

0.54u

NYM u4.5-113

0.88u

Crook looks like chicken little and is a window licker

T.Henry o4.5 Ks+150

ARI +100

0.5u

Need +100

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See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are just 2-8 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Mets are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Christian Walker is slugging .588 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. David Robertson has thrown his curveball 48% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Diamondbacks' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	41-42	19-23	22-19	24-32	17-10
Mets	42-43	22-19	20-24	28-32	14-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	43-37-3	20-19-3	23-18	30-23-3	13-14
Mets	36-48-1	17-23-1	19-25	30-29-1	6-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	42-42	21-21	21-20	29-27	13-14
Mets	48-37	29-12	19-25	39-21	9-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	NYM	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +130
Jul 2nd	@LAA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA +102
Jul 2nd	@LAA	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 10	ARI +100
Jul 1st	@LAA	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 10	ARI +130
Jun 29th	TB	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	TB -120

Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kodai Senga
SP
Senga is out with hamstring
Out

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P		107	8	12	1
RD.Robertson, P		14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	2-4	1	1	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Canha, DH	1-2	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Henry, P	87	6	2	0
LK.Nelson, P	13	0.2	2	0
RS.McGough, P	23	1.1	2	0
LA.Chafin, P	24	0.2	0	2
RK.Ginkel, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
1G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2E. Longoria, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2D.Fletcher, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5L.Gurriel, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8K.Marte, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8K.Marte, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0