Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023
Mets at Diamondbacks
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 7.00 | 2-5 | ||
![]() | 3.20 | 4-2 |
Mets at Diamondbacks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets 11-21 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Diamondbacks 16-15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |

Chase FieldPhoenix
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 32-31-0 (+1.2u)
Under 10.5 (Live)+123
0.5u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 69-98-2 (-26.5u)
NYM -154
$0.65
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 32-31-0 (+1.2u)
Under 9+100
1u
Still thinking bout the dude who shit on my plane

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 170-158-14 (-4.0u)
B.Nimmo o0.5 Runs Scored-140
0.1u
Bet to -150
F.Lindor o0.5 HR+460
0.05u
Dingers
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NYM -130 (F5)
1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 3-14-0 (-1.2u)
NYM -115
0.35u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NYM -115
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 9+105
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 241-277-11 (-17.8u)
T.Pham o1.5 Total Bases+115
0.5u
F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases+110
0.55u
NYM -130 (F5)
1u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 170-158-14 (-4.0u)
NYM -120 (F5)
0.6u
Need -120
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Previews & Analysis
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Notes
Keys to the Game
The Mets are just 2-8 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Mets are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Matchup Contrasts
Christian Walker has 23 home runs on breaking pitches since last season -- fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. David Robertson has thrown his curveball 49% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.
Christian Walker is slugging .498 on breaking pitches since last season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Brooks Raley has thrown his curveball 37% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 50% (265/529) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (81/226) against Kodai Senga this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Diamondbacks are 12-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Diamondbacks' 15 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-10 | 9-6 | 12-4 | 6-4 | 14-6 | |
| 10-22 | 4-14 | 6-8 | 6-17 | 4-5 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-11-1 | 9-6 | 10-5-1 | 5-5 | 13-6-1 | |
| 13-17-2 | 8-8-2 | 5-9 | 10-11-2 | 3-6 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-15 | 9-6 | 7-9 | 6-4 | 9-11 | |
| 11-21 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 8-15 | 3-6 |
Last 5 Matchups
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries
- Corbin BurnesSP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
- Blake WalstonSP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler Locklear1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out
- Cristian MenaSP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Mets Injuries
- Francisco LindorSS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
- Tylor MegillSP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
- Justin HagenmanSP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Mets Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 101 | 6 | 9 | 4 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 12 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
![]() | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 94 | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | |
![]() | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 19 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 24 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison
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Mets at Diamondbacks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Mets 11-21 | N/A | N/A |
Diamondbacks 16-15 | N/A | N/A |







































