Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Mariners at Astros

6:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

32-31

5 - 4

Houston Astros

36-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
B.Miller			2.95	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 32-31	+1.5-192	o8.5-108	+110
Astros 36-28	-1.5+160	u8.5-112	-130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

H.Brown o3.5 Hits Allowed-140

0.71u

SEA +114

1.14u

SEA +114

1.14u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Over 8+100

0.5u

Bet to -112

H.Brown o3.5 Hits Allowed-120

0.83u

Ballpark pal projects 4.7 hits allowed and +ev bet with devig odds of -147 giving value to this number

SEA +107

1.07u

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Featured Insight
Astros have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 35% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Julio Rodriguez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .551 (27-for-49) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .324 -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .121 (8-for-66) against Bryce Miller this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- 98th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .622 (45 PA's) versus the top of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .321 -- 0 Percentile.

Bryce Miller has a strikeout rate of 39% (21 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 17-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Astros' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	35-29	18-16	17-13	20-24	15-4
Mariners	27-36	13-20	14-16	11-29	15-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	26-36-2	14-20	12-16-2	22-22	3-14-2
Mariners	33-27-3	18-13-2	15-14-1	22-15-3	10-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	36-28	22-12	14-16	25-19	11-8
Mariners	32-31	16-17	16-14	18-22	13-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SEA	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -148
May 4th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -115
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170

Victor Robles
OF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
Logan Gilbert
P
Gilbert is out with elbow
Out

Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
P
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
P
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	82	6	3	4
LT.Saucedo, P	15	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	16	0.2	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	11	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, LF	3-4	0	0	1
1J.Rojas, 3B	3-4	0	0	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-5	1	1	1
5T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Garver, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7L.Raley, RF	1-3	2	1	1
8D.Moore, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9L.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	2
9S.Haggerty, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9S.Haggerty, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	91	4.1	5	2
RS.Martinez, P	11	0.2	0	0
RR.Montero, P	12	1	0	1
RS.Dubin, P	16	1	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	21	1	1	1
LJ.Hader, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	1-3	1	1	2
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Dubon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Cabbage, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-2	0	0	0