Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Mariners at Astros

6:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

42-39

5 - 4

Houston Astros

49-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
B.Miller			2.95	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 42-39	+1.5-192	o8.5-108	+110
Astros 49-33	-1.5+160	u8.5-112	-130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

H.Brown o3.5 Hits Allowed-140

0.71u

SEA +114

1.14u

SEA +114

1.14u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Over 8+100

0.5u

Bet to -112

H.Brown o3.5 Hits Allowed-120

0.83u

Ballpark pal projects 4.7 hits allowed and +ev bet with devig odds of -147 giving value to this number

SEA +107

1.07u

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Featured Insight
Astros have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 35% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Julio Rodriguez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .551 (27-for-49) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .324 -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .121 (8-for-66) against Bryce Miller this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- 98th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .622 (45 PA's) versus the top of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .321 -- 0 Percentile.

Bryce Miller has a strikeout rate of 39% (21 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Astros' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	43-39	24-20	19-19	26-32	17-6
Mariners	33-48	16-23	17-25	16-33	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	33-46-3	17-27	16-19-3	27-30-1	5-16-2
Mariners	44-33-4	20-16-3	24-17-1	27-18-4	15-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	49-33	31-13	18-20	36-22	13-10
Mariners	42-39	20-19	22-20	26-23	14-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SEA	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -148
May 4th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -115
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	82	6	3	4
LT.Saucedo, P	15	1	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	16	0.2	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	11	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, LF	3-4	0	0	1
1J.Rojas, 3B	3-4	0	0	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-5	1	1	1
5T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Garver, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7L.Raley, RF	1-3	2	1	1
8D.Moore, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9L.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	2
9S.Haggerty, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9S.Haggerty, LF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	91	4.1	5	2
RS.Martinez, P	11	0.2	0	0
RR.Montero, P	12	1	0	1
RS.Dubin, P	16	1	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	21	1	1	1
LJ.Hader, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	1-3	1	1	2
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Dubon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Cabbage, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-2	0	0	0