Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Mariners at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Seattle Mariners

42-39

3 - 5

Houston Astros

49-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 42-39	-1.5	-1.5+154	o8.5-102	-104
Astros 49-33	u8.5	+1.5-184	u8.5-118	-115

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 04, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 8.5-120

Over 8.5-102

0.5u

SEA -105

1.05u

G.Kirby u2.5 Earned Runs-115

1.04u

R.Blanco o6.5 Ks+110

0.5u

Under 8.5-120

0.83u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-217-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-9-1,53% (ROI:2%)

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Featured Insight
Astros left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Jorge Polanco has an OPS of just .326 with two strikes this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .300 (63 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Julio Rodriguez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Astros' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	43-39	24-20	19-19	26-32	17-6
Mariners	33-48	16-23	17-25	16-33	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	33-46-3	17-27	16-19-3	27-30-1	5-16-2
Mariners	44-33-4	20-16-3	24-17-1	27-18-4	15-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	49-33	31-13	18-20	36-22	13-10
Mariners	42-39	20-19	22-20	26-23	14-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	88	6	3	1
RT.Thornton, P	16	0.1	0	2
LG.Speier, P	23	0.1	0	2
RC.Bolton, P	12	0.1	1	0
RT.Miller, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	3-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Urias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	94	6	6	3
RS.Martinez, P	5	1	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	17	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	22	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	1	1
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	1	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-3	0	1
5J.Pena, SS	0-3	1	1
6Y.Diaz, C	2-4	1	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0
8J.Loperfido, LF	2-2	0	0
8J.Meyers, PH	0-1	1	0
8J.Meyers, CF	0-1	1	0
9M.Dubon, CF	0-3	0	1
9M.Dubon, LF	0-3	0	1