Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Mariners at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

Seattle Mariners

42-39

5 - 0

Houston Astros

49-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			2.91	15-7
L.Gilbert			3.24	9-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 42-39	+1.5-180	o7.5+100	+125
Astros 49-33	-1.5+150	u7.5-120	-148

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 04, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-217-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-9-1,53% (ROI:2%)

SEA +125

1.25u

SEA +125

1.25u

SEA +124

1.24u

Under 8-120

0.5u

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Featured Insight
Astros RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 27% against LHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Back Logan Gilbert, More
Doug Ziefel•
May 4, 2024 UTC

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Jeremy Pena has a swing rate of 43% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jose Altuve is batting .284 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Logan Gilbert has thrown a breaking pitch 39% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (784/1,655) with two-strikes since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (493/795) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Astros' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	43-39	24-20	19-19	26-32	17-6
Mariners	33-48	16-23	17-25	16-33	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	33-46-3	17-27	16-19-3	27-30-1	5-16-2
Mariners	44-33-4	20-16-3	24-17-1	27-18-4	15-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	49-33	31-13	18-20	36-22	13-10
Mariners	42-39	20-19	22-20	26-23	14-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -115
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P		96	8	6	0
LT.Saucedo, P		10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	2-5	0	0	1
5T.France, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Raleigh, C	1-4	1	1	2
8L.Urias, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9S.Haggerty, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	91	5.1	3	5
RT.Scott, P	15	0.2	2	0
RB.Bielak, P	31	3	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	2-3	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-3	0	0	0
6Y.Diaz, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, C	0-3	0	0	0