Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Mariners at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

Seattle Mariners

32-31

5 - 0

Houston Astros

36-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			2.91	15-7
L.Gilbert			3.24	9-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 32-31	+1.5-180	o7.5+100	+125
Astros 36-28	-1.5+150	u7.5-120	-148

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 04, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-217-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-9-1,53% (ROI:2%)

SEA +125

1.25u

SEA +125

1.25u

SEA +124

1.24u

Under 8-120

0.5u

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Featured Insight
Astros RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB. Mariners right-handed hitters have struck out 27% against LHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Back Logan Gilbert, More
Doug Ziefel•
May 4, 2024 UTC

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Jeremy Pena has a swing rate of 43% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jose Altuve is batting .284 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Logan Gilbert has thrown a breaking pitch 39% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (784/1,655) with two-strikes since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (493/795) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 17-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Astros' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	35-29	18-16	17-13	20-24	15-4
Mariners	27-36	13-20	14-16	11-29	15-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	26-36-2	14-20	12-16-2	22-22	3-14-2
Mariners	33-27-3	18-13-2	15-14-1	22-15-3	10-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	36-28	22-12	14-16	25-19	11-8
Mariners	32-31	16-17	16-14	18-22	13-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU -115
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256

Victor Robles
OF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out
Logan Gilbert
P
Gilbert is out with elbow
Out

Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
P
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
P
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P		96	8	6	0
LT.Saucedo, P		10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
4M.Garver, DH	2-5	0	0	1
5T.France, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Raleigh, C	1-4	1	1	2
8L.Urias, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9S.Haggerty, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	91	5.1	3	5
RT.Scott, P	15	0.2	2	0
RB.Bielak, P	31	3	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	2-3	0	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-3	0	0	0
6Y.Diaz, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, C	0-3	0	0	0