Guardians vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Guardians at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Cleveland Guardians

8-12

9 - 10

Houston Astros

11-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 8-12	+1.5	+1.5-142	o9-108	+143
Astros 11-9	-1.5+120	u9-112	-170

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

May 01, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+129

1.29u

HOU -1-115

CLE +145

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+125

1.25u

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored in at least three different innings in 61% of their games this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Astros have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Astros this season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Astros are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Astros are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Andres Gimenez is batting .279 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .279 (112-for-401) on Hunter Brown breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Kyle Tucker has an OPS of .896 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .904 (523 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -148
Apr 24th	@CHC	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -112
Apr 23rd	@CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CHC -113

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	76	4	3	8
RC.Smith, P	24	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	8	0.2	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	17	0.2	2	0
RN.Sandlin, P	11	1.2	0	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0
RH.Gaddis, P	8	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-2	2	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	2	1	3
5W.Brennan, RF	0-4	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	0-4	1	0	0
7E.Florial, DH	1-3	1	1	3
7D.Fry, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7D.Fry, DH	1-1	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	97	5.1	7	6
RR.Montero, P	26	0.2	1	2
RB.Abreu, P	21	1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	16	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	33	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	1	1	3
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	2-4	1	0	0
6Y.Diaz, C	1-5	1	0	0
6M.Dubon, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7J.Loperfido, LF	1-5	1	0	2
8J.Singleton, 1B	1-4	2	1	3
9J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, PH	1-1	1	1	2