Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2023

Guardians at White Sox

12:10 am • NBCS-CHI

Cleveland Guardians

46-49

3 - 8

Chicago White Sox

32-65

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Lynn			6.47	6-9
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 46-49	-1.5+134	o8.5-110	-120
White Sox 32-65	+1.5-162	u8.5-110	+102

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

May 17, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

CWS +114

0.57u

L.Lynn u6.5 Ks-144

1.44u

I’m showing some slight value under 5.5, but FanDuel offering under 6.5 -144 is an auto play. I’m projecting him finishing with 6 Ks exactly 16% of the time and a fair price closer to -230 for under 6.5

L.Lynn o2.5 Earned Runs+115

Last 7 start: 7, 4, 4, 4, 5, 3, 8 earned runs. 11 homers allowed in 44 IP this season. He’s not avoiding barrels at all - 10.7% barrel rate is +4% over last season (and the MLB average). CLE’s offense is not good, but they have solid history vs Lynn. AndL Lynn will be on a long leash, as always. Good hitting conditions as well

CLE -127

1.27u

CWS +102

1.02u

🥩

CWS +102

1.02u

Under 8+105

0.5u

Bet to -104 or 8.5 (-123). Prefer 8 (+105) to 8.5 (-115)

Tuesday MLB PrizePicks: Back Arraez, Kwan & More
Tony Sartori•
May 16, 2023 UTC
Tuesday MLB Props: How to Bet Arenado, Ramirez & More
Alex Hinton•
May 16, 2023 UTC
DiSturco: How I'm Betting Tuesday's MLB Slate
Charlie Disturco•
May 16, 2023 UTC
MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
May 16, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 25-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of White Sox' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	53-44	28-22	25-22	0-2	53-42
Guardians	48-47	19-24	29-23	17-18	31-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	41-52-4	26-21-3	15-31-1	0-2	41-50-4
Guardians	39-52-4	19-23-1	20-29-3	17-18	22-33-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	32-65	21-29	11-36	1-1	31-64
Guardians	46-49	20-23	26-26	22-13	24-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +110
May 13th	HOU	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS -130
May 13th	HOU	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU +130
May 11th	@KC	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -110
May 10th	@KC	L 1-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -154

Gabriel Arias
SS
Arias is out with leg
Out
Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Ryan Noda
1B
Noda is out with quad
Out
Davis Martin
SP
Davis Martin (forearm) has been scratched Friday.
Out
Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	88	4.2	4	5
RX.Curry, P	25	1.1	0	1
RN.Sandlin, P	10	1	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	24	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	2
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	0	0
3J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0
3B.Rocchio, PH	1-2	0	0
3B.Rocchio, 3B	1-2	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	1
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0
6G.Arias, 3B	0-4	0	0
6G.Arias, 1B	0-4	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-4	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-2	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	97	7	7	1
RK.Middleton, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Kelly, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	2-5	0	0	0
3L.Robert, CF	1-4	2	1	1
4Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	2	0	1
5A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
6G.Sheets, RF	1-5	1	1	3
6J. Marisnick, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	3-4	1	0	0
8J.Burger, DH	2-4	1	1	2
9H. Alberto, 2B	2-4	0	0	0