Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

10 - 7

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+164	o8.5-101	+100
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5-196	u8.5-118	-121

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

April 16, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.96u

Have to martingale after losing yesterday

Under 8.5-118

T.Bibee o15.5 Outs-115

1.15u

CLE -105

0.95u

BOS -115

1.15u

BOS -115

1.73u

Marathon Monday was an industry plot

CLE -105

Under 9-115

1.15u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-103)

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Guardians are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Guardians are 11-64 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Red Sox are just 39-51 (.433) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Andres Gimenez is batting .278 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kutter Crawford has thrown a breaking pitch 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/29) against Garrett Whitlock on sliders this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- first Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a .636 SLG vs left-handed batters this season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- seventh Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 vs left-handed batters last season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a .909 SLG versus the top of the order this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP-- 0 Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .318 versus the top of the order last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 15th	CLE	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CLE -161
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105
Apr 12th	LAA	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAA -115
Apr 11th	BAL	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +110

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	92	5	3	1
RT.Beede, P	20	0.1	1	3
RC.Smith, P	17	0.2	1	2
RE.Morgan, P	29	2	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	16	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	2	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	2	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4B.Rocchio, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4B.Rocchio, SS	0-0	1	0	0
5B.Naylor, C	1-5	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	0-2	1	0	0
6E.Florial, PH	1-3	0	0	2
6E.Florial, RF	1-3	0	0	2
7W.Brennan, DH	1-5	1	0	1
8G.Arias, SS	2-6	0	0	2
8G.Arias, 1B	2-6	0	0	2
9T.Freeman, CF	2-5	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	54	4	1	2
LJ.Rodriguez, P	31	2	3	2
LB.Bernardino, P	19	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	13	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	0	1
RG.Weissert, P	21	1	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	26	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-2	0	0	2
2B.Dalbec, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	0-6	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5W.Abreu, RF	0-4	2	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
6P.Reyes, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	2-4	1	1	3
8D.Hamilton, SS	2-5	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-5	1	0	0