Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

3:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

6 - 0

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
X.Curry			5.84	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-155	o9.5-108	+135
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+130	u9.5-112	-161

Monday 3:10 p.m.

April 15, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

CLE +127 (Live)

1.27u

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-135

0.55u

CLE +0.5 (F5)-108

0.46u

X.Curry o3.5 Ks+135

0.75u

Risky biz but I like the guy and the Sox may be over confident.

CLE +112

1.12u

T.O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage to O’Neil in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of -144 giving value to this number

K.Crawford u16.5 Outs-115

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 5.50 ip and +ev bet with devig odds of -158 giving us value. He has hit this in 11 straight home games

Under 9.5-115

BOS -119

1.19u

Featured Insight
Guardians had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- sixth lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- ninth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 28% against LHP over the last week -- seventh highest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 11-64 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Guardians are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are just 39-51 (.433) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Andres Gimenez is batting .278 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kutter Crawford has thrown a breaking pitch 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (7 Total Bases / 55 ABs) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105
Apr 12th	LAA	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAA -115
Apr 11th	BAL	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +110
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RX.Curry, P	73	5	3
LT.Herrin, P	27	2	3
RN.Sandlin, P	16	1	1
RE.Morgan, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	1-2	2	1	2
6W.Brennan, CF	1-2	2	1	2
7E.Florial, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Arias, 3B	3-4	1	0	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	92	5.2	6	0
LB.Bernardino, P	11	1	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	12	0.1	0	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	25	1	1	1
RC.Anderson, P	19	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-2	0	0	0
3D.Hamilton, SS	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0