Guardians vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Guardians at Phillies

10:40 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

3 - 1

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-130	o8-105	+155
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+110	u8-115	-190

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

T.Turner o0.5 HR+400

0.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

PHI -1.5+118

Under 8.5-115

0.43u

Flat to -120 or better

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Phillies have won just 37% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this month -- third lowest in MLB. The Guardians have scored first in just 26% of their games this month -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Phillies are just 3-5 (.375) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Phillies are 49-30 (.620) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .628 this season -- ninth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .501 (171 PAs) this season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 51% of the time (411/800) this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (192/328) against Cristopher Sanchez this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@MIN	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	MIN -132
Jul 23rd	@MIN	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -148
Jul 22nd	@MIN	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -115
Jul 21st	@PIT	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -122
Jul 20th	@PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -163

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	90	6	6	1
RC.Smith, P	20	1	0	0
RH.Gaddis, P	17	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0
2A.Martinez, RF	2-5	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	2-3	0	1
5J.Noel, 1B	0-4	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	0
7T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	1	0
9B.Naylor, C	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	88	6	2	3
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	12	1	2	0
RO.Kerkering, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-2	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Marsh, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	3-4	1	1	1
9J.Rojas, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Wilson, LF	0-2	0	0	0