Phillies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2024

Phillies at Twins

11:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 7

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+140	o8.5+100	-115
Twins 0-0	u8	+1.5-167	u8.5-120	-103

Monday 11:40 p.m.

July 22, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

R.Suarez o4.5 Ks+105

MIN +110

1.1u

Over 8-110

0.45u

Flat to -119 or 8.5 (-101)

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored first in 64% of their games this month -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. The Twins have allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games this month -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have an OPS of .796 this month -- fifth best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .843 (228 PAs) this month -- third worst in MLB.

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .517 this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 147 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .499 (163 PAs) this season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Trea Turner is batting .472 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 147 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (31/103) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (89/267) against Bailey Ober this season -- tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 21st	MIL	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -162
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138
Jul 13th	@SF	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +110
Jul 13th	@SF	L 1-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -148

Spencer Turnbull
P
Turnbull is out with back
Out

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Anthony DeSclafani
P
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	79	5.1	4	3
RO.Kerkering, P	14	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	22	1	1	1
RY.Marte, P	36	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P		83	7	4	2
RC.Sands, P		30	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, LF	2-5	0	2
2R.Jeffers, C	2-5	1	0
3W.Castro, SS	1-4	0	2
4B.Buxton, CF	0-5	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	1
6B.Lee, 2B	1-5	0	0
6B.Lee, 3B	1-5	0	0
7J.Camargo, DH	0-2	0	0
7T.Larnach, PH	1-1	0	0
7T.Larnach, DH	1-1	0	0
7A.Martin, PR	0-0	1	0
7A.Martin, DH	0-0	1	0
8M.Kepler, RF	2-3	2	1
9D.Castillo, 3B	1-1	2	0
9E.Julien, PH	0-1	1	0
9E.Julien, 2B	0-1	1	0