Phillies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 24, 2024

Phillies at Twins

5:10 pm • NBC 10

Philadelphia Phillies

46-30

4 - 5

Minnesota Twins

37-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Okert			5.09	3-2
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 46-30	-1.5+122	o8-112	-132
Twins 37-38	+1.5-145	u8-108	+112

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

July 24, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-110

B.Buxton o1.5 RBI+550

0.25u

T.Turner o0.5 HR+520

1.3u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits+230

0.25u

PHI -1.5+117

PHI u4.5 Team Total-130

2.5u

MIN +138

0.69u

Bet to +130

Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this month -- tied for third lowest in MLB. The Twins have scored first in just 33% of their games this month -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have an OPS of .813 this month -- third best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .842 (257 PAs) this month -- third worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 24, 2024 UTC
MLB Betting Preview: Hitter Props for Wednesday (July 24)
Charlie Disturco•
Jul 24, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Byron Buxton is batting .301 on breaking pitches this season -- 11th best among hitters with at least 148 total PA's-- 92nd Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .572 since last season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 391 total PA's-- first Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has allowed an OPS of just .501 (375 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

34 of Steven Okert's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season -- 2nd most among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Steven Okert's elevated fastball this season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .194 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 21-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Twins' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	41-34	20-13	21-21	26-22	15-12
Phillies	37-39	18-20	19-19	31-32	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	31-40-4	14-18-1	17-22-3	22-24-2	9-16-2
Phillies	32-40-4	19-17-2	13-23-2	27-32-4	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	37-38	20-13	17-25	26-22	11-16
Phillies	46-30	25-13	21-17	41-22	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 23rd	PHI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +124
Jul 22nd	PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -103
Jul 21st	MIL	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -162
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138

Bryce Harper
1B
Harper is out with wrist
Out

Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out
Trevor Larnach
RF
Trevor Larnach has been scratched Friday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	98	6	6	1
RO.Kerkering, P	22	0.1	1	3
LM.Strahm, P	9	0.2	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	21	1	2	0
LG.Soto, P	12	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	0	0	2
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	1	1	1
3B.Harper, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	0-4	1	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	3-4	1	0	1
7B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Okert, P	14	0.1	0	0
RD.Festa, P	73	4.1	7	1
LC.Thielbar, P	22	1.1	2	2
RB.Stewart, P	17	1	1	1
RC.Sands, P	15	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Larnach, LF	0-3	2	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Martin, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	2-5	1	0	2
5C.Santana, 1B	2-3	0	0	2
6M.Wallner, DH	1-2	1	1	1
6M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Margot, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Lee, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9E.Julien, 2B	1-4	0	0	0