Phillies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2024

Phillies at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Philadelphia Phillies

8-10

3 - 0

Minnesota Twins

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 8-10	-1.5+114	o8-105	-148
Twins 11-8	+1.5-135	u8-115	+124

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

July 23, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

T.Turner o0.5 Hits-300

0.33u

PHI -1.5+114

1.14u

PHI -148

1.35u

Under 8-110

PHI -142

0.7u

PHI -140

$1.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Z.Wheeler u18.5 Outs-162

MIN +138

MIN +143

0.5u

Bet to +131

MIN +136

Wheeler is superior pitcher, but PHI 105/108 wRC+ Rd/v RHP, MIN 124/111 - MIN small def & bullpen edges too.

Featured Insight
Phillies have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season -- tied for third highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 24% since last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have an OPS of .809 this month -- third best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .819 (239 PAs) this month -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Christian Vazquez is slugging just .310 since last season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 390 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Zack Wheeler has allowed a SLG of just .278 vs right-handed batters since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Willi Castro is batting just .165 with RISP this season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Zack Wheeler with RISP this season -- tied for ninth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .212 (11 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .369 -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (16 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .258 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Twins' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	12-7	7-3	5-4	2-2	10-5
Phillies	4-14	2-10	2-4	4-14	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	10-8-1	5-4-1	5-4	3-1	7-7-1
Phillies	10-7-1	8-3-1	2-4	10-7-1	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	11-8	7-3	4-5	2-2	9-6
Phillies	8-10	5-7	3-3	8-10	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -103
Jul 21st	MIL	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -162
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138
Jul 13th	@SF	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +110

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

Zack Wheeler
SP
Wheeler is out with shoulder
Out
Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Wheeler, P	107	7	7
RJ.Hoffman, P	20	0.2	2
LG.Soto, P	9	0.1	0
LM.Strahm, P	11	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-3	1	0
5J.Realmuto, C	1-2	1	0
6B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	1
6B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	1
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	2
8B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-2	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-1	0	0
9W.Wilson, LF	0-1	0	0
9C.Pache, CF	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	88	6	5	0
RJ.Alcala, P	17	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	19	1	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	27	0.2	0	3
RR.Henriquez, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Lee, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Lee, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Martin, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-2	0	0	0
9B.Buxton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Castillo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0