Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - October 12, 2023

Dodgers at Diamondbacks

1:07 am • TBS

Los Angeles Dodgers

0-3

2 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

3-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			3.27	0-1
L.Lynn			13.50	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 0-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 3-0	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 1:07 a.m.

October 12, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks+105

0.1u

F.Freeman o1.5 Total Bases-120

$2.40

ARI +110

2.2u

Under 9.5-120

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks+105

0.5u

Despite lasting only 2.2 innings, Pfaadt struck out 4 of 16 Brewers & got a bunch of swings and misses - At least a 12.3 SwStr% each of L4 regular season starts - Could get a bit longer leash w/ ARI up 2-0.

ARI +110

0.55u

LAD -130

1.3u

ARI +115

1.15u

Give me the Snakes. Give me the energy of the desert. Give me Chase Field cause my name is Chase. Give me the essence of Randy Johnson taking a birds life with a baseball accidentally. Just give me Snakes.

LAD -130

ARI +110

1.1u

Snakes sweep the Dodgers

B.Pfaadt o11.5 Outs+108

0.54u

ARI +110

1.1u

ARI +110 (F5)

0.55u

J.Heyward u0.5 Hits+125

0.31u

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Hits Allowed-145

Over 9.5-113

LAD -145

J.Martinez o0.5 RBI+160

0.25u

L.Lynn o11.5 Outs-102

0.5u

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks-110

0.5u

L.Lynn o3.5 Ks-115

0.5u

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks-110

You’ve gotta be asking why the hell I would lay 2u on a kid to clear 4 Ks in what is no doubt the biggest game of his life thus far. The answer is simple. I believe the Snakes will win. I believe that the power of your home field and fans can be just the right combo to settle a youngin in who was shaky af in his first post season showing against the Brewers. The Dodgers aren’t going to be quiet by any means, but this is a moment for the rookie to take his team further down a path to history. He’s dreamed about this moment. Think we see a high of 6 Ks from him in this one.

L.Lynn o11.5 Outs-102

0.51u

If he gets 18 hitters… can he get 12 outs? Let’s find out

ARI +114 (F5)

1.14u

See notes on ARI side - make ARI favorites w/o LAD pen edge

ARI +124

1.24u

Lynn 4.33 SIERA/4.83 xERA, Pfaadt 4.28/4.58 (3.36 SIERA/.289 xwOBA in Sept/). While Pfaadt's results v MIL weren't great, he did get a lot of swings and misses in that game - LAD obvious offensive edge, but post-season ARI 128 wRC+, LAD 45 - ARI has the better defense, but inferior pen - Make this about even w/ home field advantage

Under 10-115

0.43u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 42-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-79	40-41	42-38	36-52	45-27
Dodgers	73-89	37-44	36-45	61-82	12-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	80-74-7	39-36-6	41-38-1	43-40-5	37-33-2
Dodgers	74-80-8	40-35-6	34-45-2	64-71-8	10-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	39-36	43-38	37-43	45-43	34-38
Dodgers	13-4	52-29	41-40	83-60	10-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 10th	@LAD	W 4-2	-	-	-
Oct 8th	@LAD	W 11-2	-	-	-
Oct 4th	@MIL	W 5-2	-	-	-
Oct 3rd	@MIL	W 6-3	-	-	-
Oct 1st	HOU	L 1-8	-	-	-

Blake Snell
SP
Blake Snell has been scratched Friday. Will Klein likely to start a bullpen game.
Out
Enrique Hernandez
1B
Hernandez is out with elbow
Out
Wyatt Mills
RP
Mills is out with elbow
Out
Bobby Miller
SP
Miller is out with shoulder
Out
Landon Knack
SP
Knack is out with undisclosed
Out
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	48	2.2	1	4
LC.Ferguson, P	18	1.1	2	0
RM.Grove, P	22	1	1	0
LA.Vesia, P	18	1	1	0
RB.Graterol, P	11	1	1	0
RE.Phillips, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	0-4	0	0
1M.Betts, RF	0-4	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	0-4	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	0
5W.Smith, C	3-4	1	0
6J.Heyward, RF	0-1	0	0
6C.Taylor, PH	1-3	0	1
6C.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	1
6C.Taylor, LF	1-3	0	1
7E.Hernandez, CF	2-4	0	1
7E.Hernandez, 2B	2-4	0	1
7E.Hernandez, SS	2-4	0	1
8D.Peralta, LF	0-2	0	0
8A.Barnes, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Outman, CF	0-0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	0-2	0	0
9K. Wong, PH	0-0	0	0
9K. Wong, 2B	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	42	4.1	2	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	1.1	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	23	1	1	2
LA.Saalfrank, P	1	0.1	0	0
RK.Ginkel, P	17	1	2	0
RP.Sewald, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
3T.Pham, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5G.Moreno, C	1-2	1	1	1
5P.Smith, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Herrera, C	0-1	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Thomas, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8E. Longoria, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8J. Peterson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	1	1	1