Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 22, 2023

Diamondbacks at Nationals

5:05 pm • MASN

Arizona Diamondbacks

39-38

5 - 3

Washington Nationals

40-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.61	3-7
T.Henry			4.15	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 39-38	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 40-38	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 5:05 p.m.

June 22, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

ARI -1.5+105

1.05u

T.Henry o3.5 Ks-144

Projecting closer to -180

J.Irvin u3.5 Ks-125

1.25u

It's time to revolt against Irvin's 4.9 SwStr%. He's struck out a total of 13 over his last 5 starts and ARI Ks at a below average rate.

T.Henry o4.5 Ks+172

1.72u

WSH +1.5-120

Under 9.5-120

ARI -145

0.69u

WSH +140

0.5u

Bet to +133

Under 10-115

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 9.5 (-103)

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See more MLB Coverage

The Nationals are just 26-54 (.325) after a home loss since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Diamondbacks are 22-12 (.647) on the road this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Diamondbacks are 12-9 (.571) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Nationals are just 28-54 (.341) after a win since last season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

30% of Ketel Marte strikeouts are looking since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 39% of Taylor Rogers strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Christian Walker is slugging .616 on breaking pitches this season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Taylor Rogers has thrown a breaking pitch 66% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Jake Irvin's pitches (272/679) this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (35/272) against Jake Irvin this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (30 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on inside fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .433 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 29-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nationals' 38 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	46-32	17-21	29-11	4-6	42-26
Diamondbacks	43-34	23-18	20-16	18-19	24-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	47-28-3	26-10-2	21-18-1	9-1	38-27-3
Diamondbacks	33-41-3	16-24-1	17-17-2	13-23-1	19-18-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	40-38	16-22	24-16	5-5	35-33
Diamondbacks	39-38	24-17	15-21	22-15	16-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 21st	STL	W 3-0	-	-	-
Jun 20th	STL	L 3-9	-	-	-
Jun 19th	STL	L 6-8	-	-	-
Jun 18th	MIA	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jun 17th	MIA	L 2-5	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Henry, P	91	6.2	5	1
RM.Castro, P	2	0.1	0	0
LA.Chafin, P	14	1	2	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	9	0.1	1	2
RS.McGough, P	13	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
2K.Marte, DH	1-5	1	1	3
3C.Carroll, RF	1-4	2	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	2-3	0	0	0
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
7A.Thomas, CF	0-4	1	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	87	6	6	1
RJ.Weems, P	20	1	0	0
RC. Abbott, P	31	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	2-4	1	1	1
2L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Garrett, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, DH	3-4	1	0	0
6M.Chavis, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Adams, C	3-4	1	1	2
8D.Hill, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0