Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2023

Cardinals at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN

St. Louis Cardinals

16-9

9 - 3

Washington Nationals

14-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			4.42	7-10
J.Montgomery			2.79	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 16-9	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 14-9	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

June 20, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 8.5-118

STL -140 (F5)

0.71u

Gotta stick with my gut think the Cards bats stay hot

Over 9-115

0.5u

Need -115

WSH +135

1.5u

These pitchers have very similar estimators & WAS a 5 pt wRC+ edge v LHP. They even have the better defense (7 Runs Prevented). Why is STL even favored overall? Bullpen? Will risk the WAS pen for much better price.

The Nationals are just 28-54 (.341) after a win since last season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Willson Contreras is batting just .179 on fastballs this season -- tied for worst in MLB-- first Percentile. MacKenzie Gore has thrown fastballs 59% of the time this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

32% of Lane Thomas strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 36% of Jake Woodford strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

39% of Jordan Montgomery's fastball strikeouts are located down this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 94th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has allowed a slugging percentage of just .138 (9 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 (7-for-65) against MacKenzie Gore's elevated fastball this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Cardinals	80-82	41-40	39-42	25-42	54-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Cardinals	81-74-7	39-39-3	42-35-4	33-29-5	47-45-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Cardinals	78-84	44-37	34-47	33-34	44-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	STL	L 6-8	-	-	-
Jun 18th	MIA	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jun 17th	MIA	L 2-5	-	-	-
Jun 16th	MIA	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jun 16th	@HOU	W 4-1	-	-	-

Masyn Winn
SS
Masyn Winn (knee) has been scratched Friday.
Out

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	94	7	6	1
RD. VerHagen, P	13	1	0	1
RJ.Woodford, P	21	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Edman, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-5	2	0	1
3N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
4W.Contreras, DH	3-4	1	0	2
5J.Walker, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Carlson, RF	2-4	2	2	3
7P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	1	2
8A.Knizner, C	1-4	1	0	0
9B.Donovan, 2B	3-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	98	6	8	5
RT.Ward, P	50	2	1	2
RH.Harvey, P	31	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	1-3	0	1
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0
5S.Garrett, LF	2-3	1	1
6D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0
7R.Adams, C	1-4	0	1
8V.Robles, CF	2-4	1	0
9C.Abrams, SS	1-3	0	0