Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 21, 2023

Cubs at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

32-27

8 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Hill			4.76	7-10
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 32-27	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

June 21, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

CHC -110

$90.91

Over 9-104

0.96u

Over 9-106

1.89u

PIT -104

1.04u

R.Hill o1.5 BB-146

0.34u

Drinking some juice here as Hill takes on the Cubs who are a patient team with a 9.4% BB Rate against LHP (8th). Hill has 2+ BB allowed in 79% of games this season and averages 2.1 per game.

CHC -109

Over 8.5-105

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 21, 2023 UTC
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The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) after a loss as favorites since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Pirates are just 40-55 (.421) after a win since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Steven Okert has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 0 Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (407/935) in non-two strike counts this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (8/81) against Kyle Hendricks over the last 14 days (2 games) -- lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

14 of Rich Hill's 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Cubs	23-35	12-17	11-18	14-23	9-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Cubs	33-25	15-14	18-11	19-18	14-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Cubs	31-27	18-11	13-16	21-16	10-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 20th	CHC	L 0-4	-	-	-
Jun 19th	CHC	L 0-8	-	-	-
Jun 18th	@MIL	L 2-5	-	-	-
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 0-5	-	-	-
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 4-5	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	88	6.1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	11	0.2	1	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	28	1	2	0
RM.Fulmer, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	2-5	2	1	3
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-3	0	0	1
3C.Morel, 2B	0-5	1	0	0
4T.Mancini, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	2-5	1	0	2
6Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Amaya, DH	1-3	2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-3	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	97	5.2	4	3
RR.Contreras, P	25	1.1	3	1
LA.Perdomo, P	26	0.2	1	2
RY.De los Santos, P	9	0.1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	0
1J.Delay, C	0-0	0	0
2K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	1-2	2	0
5J.Palacios, LF	1-4	0	1
6H.Davis, DH	0-3	1	0
7C. Mitchell, RF	0-3	0	0
8R.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0
8R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0
9T.Marcano, PH	0-2	0	0
9T.Marcano, SS	0-2	0	0