Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2023

Cubs at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Chicago Cubs

32-27

8 - 0

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
O.Bido			5.86	2-5
D.Smyly			5.00	11-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 32-27	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 11:05 p.m.

June 19, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

CHC -110

$90.91

LIVE BET - posted on Twitter

PIT +116

0.5u

Bido projects around five, which is around 1/2 run higher than where Smyly's estimators average out, but PIT 108 wRC+ v LHP, CHC 94 v RHP - will take a small shot w/ home dog here.

PIT o3.5-135

0.5u

DraftKings

PIT +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet365 2:08.

B.Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.75u

Bet365/DK

Under 9-105

0.5u

O.Bido o1.5 BB-165

1.52u

PIT +111

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The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bryan Reynolds is batting .378 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for third best among hitters with at least 105 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Drew Smyly has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (613/1,213) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has located his fastball inside 55% of the time (266/488) this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 36% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Cubs	24-35	12-17	12-18	15-23	9-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Cubs	33-26	15-14	18-12	19-19	14-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Cubs	32-27	18-11	14-16	22-16	10-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	@MIL	L 2-5	-	-	-
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 0-5	-	-	-
Jun 17th	@MIL	L 4-5	-	-	-
Jun 16th	@CHC	L 2-7	-	-	-
Jun 15th	@CHC	L 6-10	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LD.Smyly, P	94	5	4
RM.Fulmer, P	14	1	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	21	1	1
RM.Rucker, P	30	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	3-5	2	3
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	0	2
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-5	0	1
4I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	2-5	0	1
6C.Bellinger, 1B	1-5	0	0
7C.Morel, RF	0-4	1	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-2	2	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-1	1	0
9N.Madrigal, PH	1-2	2	0
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-2	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RO.Bido, P	96	6	7	3
LR.Borucki, P	11	0.1	0	2
RY.Ramirez, P	32	1.1	1	0
RY.De los Santos, P	21	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	0	0	0
1J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	1-2	0	0	0
3C.Joe, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Delay, C	0-0	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Castro, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Bae, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Bae, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7H.Davis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8T.Marcano, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Palacios, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Palacios, LF	1-2	0	0	0