Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 17, 2023

Pirates at Brewers

8:10 pm • BSWI

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

0 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

34-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
W.Miley			3.14	9-4
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 34-21	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 17, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 8.5-115

PIT -115

Bet365 2:06.

M.Keller o6.5 Ks+100

PIT -120

1.2u

PIT -115

1.15u

PIT -110

$1.00

PIT -105

1.05u

PIT -107 (F5)

1.07u

PIT -110 (F5)

1.1u

Keller has performed more than a run better than Miley's ROS projections & even more considering Miley's actual 2023 estimators - PIT 109 wRC+ v LHP, MIL 90 v RHP - MIL has the pen edge, so will take the same price for F5

MLB Best Bet for Guardians vs. Diamondbacks
Action Network Staff•
Jun 17, 2023 UTC

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The Pirates are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Brewers are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are just 40-55 (.421) after a win since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Willy Adames is slugging just .254 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Mitch Keller has thrown his slider 37% of the time this season -- tied for seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Christian Yelich is slugging just .298 on non-fastballs this season -- fifth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Dauri Moreta has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (46/288) against Wade Miley this season -- 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- third Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (46 Total Bases / 156 ABs) against right-handed batters this season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 3% (3/94) against Wade Miley this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 16% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Brewers' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-23	18-12	14-11	20-15	12-8
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	25-29-1	13-17	12-12-1	17-17-1	8-12
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	34-21	19-11	15-10	23-12	11-9
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 17th	PIT	W 5-4	-	-	-
Jun 14th	@MIN	L 2-4	-	-	-
Jun 13th	@MIN	L 5-7	-	-	-
Jun 11th	ATH	L 6-8	-	-	-
Jun 10th	ATH	L 1-2	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	99	5	7	4
RR.Contreras, P	17	2	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	17	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Castro, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Bae, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8M. Mathias, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LW.Miley, P	77	5	4
RP.Strzelecki, P	21	1.2	1
LH.Milner, P	12	0.1	0
RE.Peguero, P	8	1	0
RT.Megill, P	22	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2J.Winker, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	1-3	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0	2
4O.Miller, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4O.Miller, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5L.Urias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6R. Tapia, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Perkins, PH	1-1	1	1	1
6B.Perkins, RF	1-1	1	1	1
7B.Anderson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Caratini, C	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	1	1	2