Brewers vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Brewers at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

3 - 1

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.06	16-5
B.Woodruff			2.28	5-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	-1.5+145	o6.5-115	-120
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-175	u6.5-105	+100

Saturday 6:20 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 6.5-105

Under 3.5 (F5)-134

0.75u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

0.33u

Under 6.5+105

0.53u

Need +105 or better

CHC +105

CHC +112

0.5u

Bet to +105

MIL -115

Project Woodruff closer to -150

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Brewers were 6-62 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Brewers are 90-72 (.556) on the road since the 2021 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Cubs are just 57-43 (.570) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Brandon Woodruff had a strikeout rate of 31% last season -- tied for 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (52/100) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the 2021 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 98th Percentile.

Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (218/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	MIL	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 6.5	CHC +116
Mar 28th	CWS	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 10	CHC +114
Mar 27th	CWS	W 6-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CWS -134
Mar 26th	KC	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -200
Mar 25th	@LAA	L 7-8	-	-	LAA +108

Wade Miley
P
Miley is out with elbow
Out
Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Woodruff, P	97	6	8	1
RP.Strzelecki, P	17	1	1	0
RM. Bush, P	13	1	0	0
RD.Williams, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M. Brosseau, 3B	0-3	0	0
2W.Adames, SS	0-3	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	1-4	0	0
4W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	2
5L. Voit, DH	0-4	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0
7B.Anderson, RF	1-3	1	0
8O.Miller, 2B	1-2	0	0
8G.Mitchell, PH	0-1	1	0
8G.Mitchell, CF	0-1	1	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-2	0	0
9J.Winker, PH	1-1	0	1
9B.Turang, PR	0-1	1	0
9B.Turang, 2B	0-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	84	6	8	0
RJ.Assad, P	28	1.1	2	3
RM. Fulmer, P	11	0.1	1	0
RM.Rucker, P	1	0.1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	3-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	1	1	1
4C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5T. Mancini, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Mastrobuoni, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Rios, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7E. Hosmer, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Madrigal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	0-1	0	0	0