Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

Blue Jays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

3 - 6

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Criswell			4.08	6-5
Y.Rodriguez			4.47	1-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-0	+1.5-175	o9.5-105	+114
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+145	u9.5-115	-135

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

August 27, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 9.5-110

T.Casas o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

0.91u

Over 9.5-105

. wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 901-657-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:40-36-3,53% (ROI:2%)

Under 9.5-110

0.45u

Flat to -116

TOR +124

1.5u

TOR +125

TOR bats have been middle of the pack the L15 days, but they managed to hang 15 runs in their L2 games. They will be away vs C. Criswell who has been through a gauntlet of bats lately (HOU, BAL, KC, TEX) & has shown it with a 7.59 ERA in Aug. He hasn’t gone more than 4.2 innings since mid July & he’ll need to here with with a taxed BOS bullpen who is already ranked 27th this season. I do not think this happens & am confident the TOR bats will do damage. BOS bats have been good themselves, but they will see Y. Rodriguez who’s coming off a few shaky starts, but was lights out before that. He’s also holding lefties to a .174 BA & BOS is expected to have 6 in their lineup today. TOR bullpen is no better than BOS (ranking 28th) but they are completely healthy & available.

Y.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Avery

Y.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks+100

He doesn’t have a very long leash, but I really like this spot for Yariel, who is over in 7/L9. Red Sox with a 25.4% K% vs righties over the L30 days. They are hitting well over that span, but they’re lefty heavy (likely starting 6 tonight). Rodriguez has similar K% against both sides of the plate (about 24.5%), but he’s been really good versus lefties (.268 wOBA), mainly because of the split-finger he mixes in.

BOS -145

U guys will hate me

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have scored 5.9 runs per game over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB (7 games). The Red Sox have allowed 5.7 runs per game over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Blue Jays RPs this season -- worst in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 22-36 (.379) after a win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an OPS of .954 this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brad Keller has allowed an OPS of .830 (192 PAs) this season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fourth Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has walked 29 of 254 batters (11%) this season -- tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- fifth Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has a strike rate of just 61% (647/1,053) this season -- tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 11th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	TOR	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -158
Aug 26th	TOR	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 10	TOR -161
Aug 25th	ARI	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -130
Aug 24th	ARI	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ARI -135
Aug 23rd	ARI	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ARI -125

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Rodriguez, P	79	5	3	6
RT.Nance, P	22	2	3	0
RE.Swanson, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2D.Varsho, CF	2-5	1	1	1
3V.Guerrero, DH	2-5	0	0	0
4S.Horwitz, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5A.Barger, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
6A.Kirk, C	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Loperfido, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Clement, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9W.Wagner, 2B	3-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	72	3.1	0	1
RG.Weissert, P	22	1.2	0	0
LB.Bernardino, P	27	2	1	1
RC.Martin, P	9	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-4	1	1	1
2D.Hamilton, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	1-3	2	0	1
5W.Abreu, RF	2-4	1	0	1
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0	2
7R.Gonzalez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	0	0