Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 29, 2025

This one isn’t for the faint of heart. Shohei Ohtani is the best player to ever play the game and is in the middle of a historic postseason run. He’ll take the mound tonight after last night’s 18-inning marathon, which saw both teams empty their bullpens. Dave Roberts was reportedly considering Yamamoto on short rest or even a position player pitching by the end. The Dodgers badly need Ohtani to eat innings, and while that gives him a high floor for his pitch count tonight, he also faces a very tough team to K where pitching to contact a bit more makes sense if he wants to go 6-7 innings tonight. The Blue Jays lineup tonight has just a 16.6% base expected K rate (if they were facing a league average SP) one of the lowest I’ve seen all season. Ohtani is far from average, of course, and I have him projected around a 33% expected K rate, consistent with his elite finish to the 2025 season. But Toronto’s profile is the perfect counter to his strengths: they swing at the 5th-highest rate and whiff at the lowest rate in MLB. They don’t take many called strikes and are excellent at putting the ball in play with 2 strikes. The 4–7 part of the order is the most fascinating part of the order. Alejandro Kirk and Ernie Clement are very tough to strike out, while Addison Barger and Daulton Varsho are the only hitters I have at 30%+ K chance in their first PA. All four sit in the 4–7 slots, which lines up with where I expect Ohtani to get pulled the 3rd time through the order. His K% drops 10%+ each pass through the order, so while I expect him to get off to a hot start tonight, his expected K rate should plummet each time through the order tonight. He could also pitch slightly more to contact to conserve his pitch count, knowing the Dodgers need length tonight. So while the easy bet is “Ohtani good, take Ohtani over,” that’s exactly why this number is inflated..the books are taking a ton public money on his over, which is no surprise. Yes, it’s possible he throws for 10+ Ks tonight, but I’m projecting 6 strikeouts as his most likely outcome vs. a tough lineup to K, with about a 59% chance he stays under 6.5.

Run, don't walk! Fanatics haven't adjusted to the news of TOR manager saying they'll continue to walk Ohtani. -215 or worse on other books.

🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/JrzjtqdVfA 🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅ https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise Link to VIP FULL CARD (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60

@Zerillo https://myaction.app/2f9uslj3PXb

Bet to -355. May only pitch to him in the first PA

Small to +400