Astros vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2024

Astros at Cubs

11:40 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

11-9

3 - 4

Chicago Cubs

11-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 11-9	-1.5+156	o7.5-112	-112
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-185	u7.5-108	-105

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

April 24, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

HOU +550 (Live)

0.5u

Under 7.5+100

1.5u

Under 7.5-107

0.93u

CHC -115

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

@Zerillo

CHC -110

0.91u

Under 8-115

0.37u

Would increase position to 1u flat up to 7.5 (-110)

S.Arrighetti u5.5 Ks-140

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 4.67 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -192 giving value to this number

Under 8-115

0.5u

Bet to 7 (-102)

Featured Insight
Astros left-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Cubs have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- fourth highest in MLB (22 games). The Astros have allowed 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- fourth highest in MLB (23 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 24, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Jameson Taillon has walked 19 of 745 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	HOU	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	CHC -106
Apr 21st	MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -125
Apr 20th	MIA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -219
Apr 20th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -141
Apr 19th	MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -170

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
OF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
OF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
P
France is out with shoulder
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Arrighetti, P	90	3.2	7	4
RS.Dubin, P	30	2.1	3	0
RR.Montero, P	8	1	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	1-5	0	0	0
5Y.Diaz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
7M.Dubon, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8V.Caratini, C	1-2	1	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Abreu, 1B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	89	5.2	4	1
RA.Alzolay, P	17	0.2	0	0
LL.Little, P	10	0.2	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	1	0
RH.Neris, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2M.Tauchman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
5C.Morel, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
5N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	1	3
7M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Canario, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	1-3	0	0	0