Marlins vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Marlins at Cubs

6:20 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

24-38

6 - 3

Chicago Cubs

40-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			5.92	4-12
E.Cabrera			4.95	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 24-38	+1.5-192	o8.5-103	+105
Cubs 40-24	-1.5+160	u8.5-117	-125

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

April 21, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

MIA +110

0.33u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-118

0.5u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-110)

CHC -124

0.5u

Flat to -127

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 3.6 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (19 games). The Marlins have allowed 3.0 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (20 games).

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Apr 21, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 9% of PA's this season -- fourth lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 12% this season -- tied for fifth lowest among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP-- third Percentile.

Dansby Swanson is slugging just .332 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 76% (64/84) against Edward Cabrera's changeup since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (77/431) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 18-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cubs' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	34-30	16-15	18-15	25-19	9-11
Marlins	32-30	16-18	16-12	2-7	29-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	34-26-4	17-12-2	17-14-2	22-19-3	12-7-1
Marlins	34-28	17-17	17-11	4-5	30-22

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	40-24	20-11	20-13	31-13	9-11
Marlins	24-38	14-20	10-18	4-5	20-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	MIA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -219
Apr 20th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -141
Apr 19th	MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -170
Apr 17th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +110
Apr 17th	@ARI	L 11-12	+1.5 W	O 10	ARI +100

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	96	5	7	3
RB.Hoeing, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	9	1	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	18	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
4V.Brujan, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0	1
7N.Gordon, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	56	4	5	4
LD.Smyly, P	29	2.1	1	2
RC.Brewer, P	20	0.2	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	21	1	1	0
RK.Thompson, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	3-5	0	2
2C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	1
3C.Morel, 3B	1-5	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0
6G.Cooper, DH	0-4	0	0
7M.Tauchman, RF	2-4	2	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	1-4	1	0