Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Astros at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

15-23

9 - 2

Toronto Blue Jays

16-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 15-23	-1.5+140	o8.5-109	-118
Blue Jays 16-21	+1.5-168	u8.5-111	-102

Wednesday 11:07 p.m.

July 03, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases+100

1.5u

Under 8.5-112

1.12u

HOU -111

Over 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -112

R.Blanco u5.5 Hits Allowed+110

1.65u

HOU -116

Over 8.5-105

HOU -110 (F5)

$1.10

HOU -115

$1.00

R.Blanco o4.5 Ks-109

R.Blanco u6.5 Hits Allowed-130

0.77u

TOR +100

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -108

TOR -106

0.53u

Blanco 4.26 SIERA/3.55 xERA (but 12.3% Barrels/BBE L10 starts)/98 Pitching+, Kikuchi 3.48/4.00/105 - TOR 100/100/129 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, HOU 97/110/119 - bullpen estimators L30 days a wash - TOR significant defensive edge.

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Astros this season -- fourth best in MLB. Blue Jays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Astros are 16-15 (.516) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .674 since last season -- eighth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Josh Hader has allowed an OPS of just .550 (381 PAs) since last season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .689 (31 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 -- seventh Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 21 of 136 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .273 (95-for-348) against Yusei Kikuchi this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- fifth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 6-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Blue Jays' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	14-23	8-10	6-13	10-12	3-11
Astros	15-23	8-11	7-12	4-11	11-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	17-18-2	9-9	8-9-2	11-10-1	5-8-1
Astros	24-12-2	14-5	10-7-2	9-6	14-6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	16-21	10-8	6-13	12-10	3-11
Astros	15-23	9-10	6-13	5-10	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	HOU	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -115
Jul 1st	HOU	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU +112
Jun 30th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY -106
Jun 29th	NYY	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +105
Jun 28th	NYY	L 5-16	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -112

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	99	5.2	4	2
RT.Scott, P	7	0.1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	11	1	1	0
LB.King, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Montero, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-6	1	0	1
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	3-4	3	1	3
4Y.Diaz, C	3-4	0	0	3
5J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	1
6J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	1
7M.Dubon, LF	1-5	0	0	0
8C.McCormick, RF	1-5	2	0	0
9G.Kessinger, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Singleton, PH	1-2	2	0	0
9J.Singleton, 1B	1-2	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	95	5.2	5	2
RZ.Pop, P	12	0.2	0	2
RJ.Cuas, P	3	0	0	1
LB.Little, P	12	0.2	0	0
RB.Francis, P	43	2	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, DH	0-2	1	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	0-4	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	0	0
4B.Bichette, SS	1-3	1	1
5D.Varsho, CF	2-4	0	1
6D.Schneider, LF	0-3	0	0
7E.Clement, 3B	0-3	0	0
8A.Barger, RF	0-3	0	0
9B.Serven, C	1-3	0	0