Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 1, 2024

Astros at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • SNET

Houston Astros

0-2

3 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Rodriguez			4.47	1-8
H.Brown			3.49	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	-1.5+124	o8.5-106	-132
Blue Jays 0-0	+1.5-149	u8.5-113	+112

Monday 7:07 p.m.

July 01, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR +110

$1000.00

Over 8.5-105

2.1u

Y.Rodriguez u3.5 Ks-104

0.6u

Y.Rodriguez u3.5 Ks-115

FTN Model pick

TOR +122

H.Brown o4.5 Ks-125

After a gross start, Brown has been such a different pitcher of late. Over his L7 starts, he has a 1.21 ERA, with 6+ Ks in each. In that span, he has a 30.2% CSW% (13th best of 136 pitchers with 20+ IP). The upswing correlates with a bump in velocity as well. The Jays are tough on average - 19.9% vs righties this season. But have been a little worse at home - 21.1%, and of late (23.8% over the L14). Vladdy is banged up, and might be held out too. But either way, Brown has established himself again as an above avg K pitcher, and I have him at about 5.3 strikeouts with ~24 batters faced.

TOR o3.5 Team Total-130

1.95u

TOR o3.5 Team Total-130

$130.00

H.Brown u5.5 Ks-160

0.75u

Under 8.5+100

Over 8.5-110

Follow all my picks at FTNFantasy.com!

Featured Insight
The Astros are batting .250 versus relief pitchers this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (270-for-1,081) against Blue Jays RPs this season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 4-31 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jose Altuve has an OPS of .892 since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Jose Cuas has allowed an OPS of .780 (545 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 24th -- Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 30th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY -106
Jun 29th	NYY	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +105
Jun 28th	NYY	L 5-16	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -112
Jun 27th	NYY	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TOR +112
Jun 25th	@BOS	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	TOR +110

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	99	6	5	0
RR.Montero, P	7	1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	18	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	13	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	1	1
7M.Dubon, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.McCormick, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Rodriguez, P	83	6.2	6	1
RT.Richards, P	11	1.1	1	0
RZ.Pop, P	13	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Barger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Barger, LF	0-1	0	0	0