Astros vs Blue Jays Odds
Houston Astros Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +124 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | -130 |
Toronto Blue Jays Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -148 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | +110 |
There are only three games on Monday, which means if you are looking for action, the Astros and Blue Jays will take center stage on Monday afternoon.
Houston is red hot entering July, winning nine of its last 10 to finish June. Toronto has struggled all season and has dropped nine of its last 12 games, on top of owning the worst record in the American League East.
Start your holiday week with some Monday afternoon baseball. Check out my Astros vs Blue Jays Monday moneyline prediction below.
Hunter Brown is a pitcher with immense talent that many people, including a lot of our Action Network staff, were very high on entering the season. Last year’s No. 1 Astros prospect struggled through his rookie season, posting a 5.09 ERA in 29 starts.
He struggled out of the gate, especially with his command, and owned a 9.78 ERA after his first six starts. However, Brown has found his stride lately. Over his last five starts, he is 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA and has allowed just one run in his last four total starts.
Brown has lowered his ERA down to 4.37 and his xERA sits at 3.33. He has also totaled at least six strikeouts in six straight starts. His cutter and curveball were getting him into trouble early but they have both been nails over the last month.
Houston has had one of the most consistent offenses in baseball for the last decade. It ranks in the top-10 in most offensive categories but have really turned things on recently, despite not having Kyle Tucker in the lineup. The Astros have a .345 wOBA over the last two weeks thanks to Yordan Alvarez, Jose Altuve, and Yainer Diaz.
Toronto will trot out Yariel Rodriguez for this sixth career start, and the first five have produced a 5.94 ERA. He is coming off a disastrous outing, allowing four runs in less than two innings against Cleveland.
Command has been a big issue for Rodriguez. He has a 13.6% walk rate and has issued at least two free passes in four of his five starts. When he does put one in the zone, Rodriguez has allowed a 42.3% hard-hit rate, and four of his five pitches have a negative run value.
The Blue Jays offense has been a massive disappointment this season. They rank 24th in the league in scoring and only two teams have hit fewer home runs. They have picked things up a little lately, but when Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been your second-best hitter, things are not going to go well.
Astros vs. Blue Jays
Betting Pick & Prediction
Houston’s offense has been crushing the ball of late and it is starting a pitcher who is locked in and finally pitching to his elite talent level. Over his last six starts, Brown has a 1.22 ERA and has totaled 45 strikeouts in 37 innings.
Rodriguez has struggled through five starts, showing erratic command with limited strikeout upside. He allows too much hard contact and opponents have a .390 wOBA against him. Toronto’s offense has been too inconsistent and doesn’t hit for power.
Toronto has underperformed all season and are likely going to be trading away pieces at the end of the month. The Astros enter the week with wins in nine of their last 10 games. I am going to back Houston to stay hot here with Brown on the mound.