Angels vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2024

Angels at Marlins

5:10 pm • BSFL

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

10 - 2

Miami Marlins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	-1.5+154	o9-102	-105
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-185	u9-115	-115

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 03, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -110

1.1u

LAA -105

0.48u

Fading the trifecta of ear biters

LAA -105

0.95u

And then God said “LET THERE BE LIGHT”

MIA -110

1.1u

Double Down Fish

MIA -110

0.28u

New price target for game is -122. Would increase position at -115 or better.

LAA -110

$50.00

MIA -110

Puk and the Marlins get their season turned around against a bad pitcher and bad opponent.

MIA -110

1.1u

B.Drury o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

A.Puk o7.5 Ks+480

0.25u

Angels 27th in K% thus far (27.6%) and Puk in a buy low after bad debut. But had a sub-5% BB rate last year.. trusting his stuff

A.Puk o6.5 Ks+240

0.25u

🪜

A.Puk o5.5 Ks+110

0.5u

+114 at FD

MIA -110

1.1u

WE ARE SO BACK BABY #GOFISH

MIA -116

… MLB playoff team last year now a favorite off a loss Overall: 299-195-0,61% (ROI:9%) Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%) … good team last year on cold streak now favs vs good team Overall: 151-67-0,69% (ROI:21%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:70%)

MIA -108

1.08u

Fine, one more AJ Puk chance.

MIA -108

0.54u

Updated: Bet to -122 (previous -115)

Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Angels last season -- fourth best in MLB. Marlins hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 39% last season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Marlins batted .258 versus relief pitchers last season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Opponents batted .262 (611-for-2,335) against AngelsRPs last season -- third worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Model Picks for Wednesday
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The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Avisail Garcia has an OPS of just .574 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst among hitters with at least 490 total PA's-- first Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .497 (400 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jake Burger slugged .555 on breaking pitches last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Jose Soriano threw his curveball 40% of the time last season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

A.J. Puk struck out 38% (29/76) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season -- 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk's K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.4 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	LAA	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -142
Apr 1st	LAA	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	LAA -110
Mar 31st	PIT	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -148
Mar 30th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -108
Mar 29th	PIT	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Sandoval, P	93	5.2	7	2
RJ.Cisnero, P	3	0.1	1	0
RG.Zuniga, P	28	3	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Rengifo, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
1N.Schanuel, 1B	0-1	0	0	1
2A. Hicks, RF	1-4	1	0	0
3M.Trout, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4T.Ward, LF	3-5	2	1	2
5B.Drury, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
6M.Sano, 1B	2-3	2	0	0
6M.Sano, 3B	2-3	2	0	0
7L.O'Hoppe, C	1-4	1	0	1
8J.Adell, CF	0-2	1	0	1
8M.Moniak, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9Z.Neto, SS	2-5	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Puk, P	88	4	5	2
RB.Smith, P	34	2	0	2
LK.Emanuel, P	58	3	2	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-3	1	0
1J.Bride, 3B	0-0	0	0
2J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	1
3J.Burger, DH	1-4	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	0-2	0	0
6N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0
7A.Garcia, RF	1-3	1	0
8V.Brujan, 3B	0-3	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0