Pirates vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Pirates at Marlins

5:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

9 - 7

Miami Marlins

26-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-166	o8.5-108	+124
Marlins 26-32	-1.5+140	u8.5-112	-148

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

March 31, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

J.Burger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-140

0.36u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

MIA -1+100

Under 8.5-115

MLB System Play #1

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-106

0.94u

PIT +124

1.24u

PIT +120

0.6u

Bet this +130 at Superbook. Tracked the wrong line. Bet to +122

MIA -130 (F5)

PIT +112

3.36u

B.Reynolds o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-110

0.91u

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Featured Insight
Marlins Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth lowest in MLB. PiratesRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Jack Suwinski struck out in 32% of PA's last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Tanner Scott had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

31% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers threw fastballs 53% of the time (1,027/1,940) in 2022 -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 79th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers threw his changeup 29% of the time (573/1,940) in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total CH; League Avg: 17% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 11-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	24-34	13-20	11-14	14-18	10-16
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	35-21-2	17-16	18-5-2	15-17	20-4-2
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	26-32	18-15	8-17	20-12	6-20
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -108
Mar 29th	PIT	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145
Mar 28th	PIT	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -125
Mar 24th	NYM	W 5-1	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	@WSH	W 5-3	-	-	-

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	67	4	2	6
RL.Ortiz, P	22	2	1	0
LR.Borucki, P	15	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	2	1
RH.Stratton, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, LF	1-5	1	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
4E.Olivares, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Taylor, CF	1-1	0	0	1
5J.Suwinski, CF	1-6	1	0	0
5J.Suwinski, LF	1-6	1	0	0
6J.Triolo, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
6J.Triolo, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
7O.Cruz, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7O.Cruz, SS	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	1-4	2	0	2
8A.Williams, 2B	1-4	2	0	2
9J.Delay, C	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	97	5	6	4
RV.Gutierrez, P	80	4	4	3
LT.Scott, P	27	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-5	1	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	4
6T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Garcia, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, PH	1-1	1	1	1
8N.Gordon, RF	1-1	1	1	1
9V.Brujan, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Bride, 3B	0-0	0	0	0