Pirates vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Pirates at Marlins

5:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

25-40

9 - 7

Miami Marlins

24-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 25-40	+1.5-166	o8.5-108	+124
Marlins 24-38	-1.5+140	u8.5-112	-148

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

March 31, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

J.Burger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-140

0.36u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

MIA -1+100

Under 8.5-115

MLB System Play #1

PIT +124

1.24u

PIT +120

0.6u

Bet this +130 at Superbook. Tracked the wrong line. Bet to +122

MIA -130 (F5)

PIT +112

3.36u

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Featured Insight
Marlins Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth lowest in MLB. PiratesRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Jack Suwinski struck out in 32% of PA's last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Tanner Scott had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

31% of Ke'Bryan Hayes strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers threw fastballs 53% of the time (1,027/1,940) in 2022 -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 79th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers threw his changeup 29% of the time (573/1,940) in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total CH; League Avg: 17% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 16-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	32-30	16-18	16-12	2-7	29-23
Pirates	30-35	17-17	13-18	4-14	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	34-28	17-17	17-11	4-5	30-22
Pirates	24-36-5	14-17-3	10-19-2	7-11	17-25-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	24-38	14-20	10-18	4-5	20-32
Pirates	25-40	16-18	9-22	6-12	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -108
Mar 29th	PIT	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145
Mar 28th	PIT	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -125
Mar 24th	NYM	W 5-1	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	@WSH	W 5-3	-	-	-

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	67	4	2	6
RL.Ortiz, P	22	2	1	0
LR.Borucki, P	15	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	2	1
RH.Stratton, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, LF	1-5	1	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
4E.Olivares, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Taylor, CF	1-1	0	0	1
5J.Suwinski, CF	1-6	1	0	0
5J.Suwinski, LF	1-6	1	0	0
6J.Triolo, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
6J.Triolo, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
7O.Cruz, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7O.Cruz, SS	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Williams, SS	1-4	2	0	2
8A.Williams, 2B	1-4	2	0	2
9J.Delay, C	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	97	5	6	4
RV.Gutierrez, P	80	4	4	3
LT.Scott, P	27	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-5	1	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	4
6T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Garcia, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, PH	1-1	1	1	1
8N.Gordon, RF	1-1	1	1	1
9V.Brujan, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Bride, 3B	0-0	0	0	0