Angels vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2024

Angels at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Los Angeles Angels

8-11

3 - 1

Miami Marlins

6-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6
T.Anderson			3.81	10-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 8-11	+1.5	+1.5-165	o9-105	+120
Marlins 6-10	-1.5+140	u9-115	-142

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 02, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -143

$4.00

LAA -2.5 (Live)-113

0.28u

Before B6. Marlins behind and need to rest their best relievers

J.Luzardo o6.5 Ks-113

1.13u

LAA +124

1.24u

J.Luzardo o6.5 Ks-112

0.56u

#Tailing @PropBetGuy

J.Luzardo o6.5 Ks-112

1.12u

Talked about this one on VSIN this morning. Crux of the analysis is Luzardo’s slider/chase rate should play real well tonight.

MIA -0.5 (F5)-110

… f5 favs runline on a losing streak Overall: 301-314-12,49% (ROI:10%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:97%)

MIA -145

… good team last year on cold streak now favs vs good team Overall: 151-67-0,69% (ROI:21%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:65%)

Over 8-120

0.6u

Bet to 8.5 (-120) or 9 (-102)

Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Angels last season -- fourth best in MLB. Marlins hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 39% last season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Marlins batted .258 versus relief pitchers last season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Opponents batted .262 (611-for-2,335) against AngelsRPs last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Mike Trout has an OPS of .949 since the 2022 season -- fifth best among hitters with at least 490 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .858 (375 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- first Percentile.

40% of Jesus Luzardo's called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 91st Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 1st	LAA	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	LAA -110
Mar 31st	PIT	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -148
Mar 30th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -108
Mar 29th	PIT	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145
Mar 28th	PIT	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -125

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P	83	7	5	0
LM.Moore, P	12	1	0	0
RL.Garcia, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rendon, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2A. Hicks, RF	2-4	2	1	2
3M.Trout, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Ward, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5B.Drury, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Sano, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7N.Schanuel, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8L.O'Hoppe, C	2-3	0	0	0
9Z.Neto, SS	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P		93	5.1	5	3
RB.Hoeing, P		59	3.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Chisholm, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
7A.Garcia, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Bride, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0