Coming off a 2-1 Tuesday, let's check in on the updated records.
- WNBA season: 42-29
- WNBA since August 8: 28-12
- WNBA playoffs: 10-6
Friday, we have a pair of Game 3s. The rubber match between the New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun will give the winner a 2-1 lead in the series, while the Las Vegas Aces will look to sweep the Wings in Dallas.
With a pair of exciting games on the slate, let's look for some value in the WNBA player prop market.
WNBA Player Props Today
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 159.5 -113o / -113u | -176 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 159.5 -113o / -113u | +142 |
Betnijah Laney, Over 14.5 points (-115)
I generally love to bet Betnijah Laney overs and am looking to do so in Game 3.
Role players can help win road playoff games, and this is the Liberty's first in this run. But Laney, in particular, is worth backing.
The Rutgers alum has scored 19, 19, 3 and 20 points in four playoff games.
Going back to August 11, every single game in which Laney shoots at least 10 field goals, she's gone over 14.5 points. And every single time Laney has fallen short of 10 field goal attempts, she's gone under 14.5 points.
In her past 14 games, Laney's scored 15 or more points 11 times.
So, it's been a fairly simple formula. Her three-point effort came on a 1-for-9 shooting display. Otherwise, she's gone 8-for-15, 9-for-17 and 7-for-11. If she hits a couple of early shots, the volume will be there, and if that's there, we should cash this bet.
Additionally, Laney can produce regardless of who else goes off. Though it does help that Breanna Stewart has been woeful from the field lately. Of course, that won't last forever.
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -102 | 174.5 -113o / -113u | -265 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -120 | 174.5 -113o / -113u | +210 |
Arike Ogunbowale, Under 19.5 points (-110)
I bet Arike Ogunbowale to go under in Game 1 and that cashed. So, I'm playing it again in Game 3.
Ogunbowale has scored 20 or more points in all but one game (Game 1) of these playoffs. However, she's only done it one other time in six games against the Aces this year.
I think the Aces complete the sweep and hold Ogunbowale to another under. Her 3-point volume, except for Game 2 of this series, is down in the playoffs. She's shooting 40.5% from the field in the playoffs and was held to just 28.6% from the field in Game 1 (4-of-14 shooting).
From 3, she's hitting 37.9%, but is coming off a 6-of-14 performance, which will be very difficult to replicate against the Aces. That was also the only time she has shot above 33% from 3 in any game against the the Aces this year.
