So, here's the latest: 3-2 last week, 5-0 the week before.
Not bad, not bad.
It's a fun, and somewhat unpredictable, four-game slate we have on the evening tonight betting-wise, and not just on the prop front.
Here are the three picks I'm looking at for tonight's battles as we attempt to keep this positive (read 8-for-10) run going, that surely won't continue, because the game is the game, right?
(Don't worry, once I suck, I'll point that out today – let's just hope it isn't tonight.)
Here's a look at my WNBA player prop picks for today's slate.
WNBA Player Props Today
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 159.5 -108 / -112 | -175 |
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 159.5 -110 / -110 | +145 |
Alyssa Thomas, Over 7.5 Assists (-120)
Thomas has been putting up unbelievable production this season, and even as the Connecticut Sun have lost three of four, I wouldn't be too worried about this play.
The four-time All-Star has gotten to eight or more assists in five of her last seven games and continues to shoulder much of the offensive burden for the likely top outside looking in team in the league beyond the Aces and Liberty for the title.
Thomas — who has an On/Off of +29.5 per 100 possessions this season — actually hasn't hit this over in any game against the Mystics this season (six or under all three times), but I don't think that happens on a fourth occasion.
The first two games were the second and third of the season, and she only averaged 5.2 dimes in her first five contests. The third was on July 9 where she had six assists. She had eight or more assists eight times before and eight times since (in six fewer games).
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-16.5 -110 | 166.5 -110 / -110 | -1800 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+16.5 -110 | 166.5 -110 / -110 | +1000 |
A'ja Wilson, Over 20.5 Points (-120)
The game "Trap or Trend" often seems to revolve around A'ja Wilson, doesn't it?
You're telling me she's at 20.5 points over or under despite hitting 21 or more in five consecutive contests? And they're facing the Atlanta Dream, who she just dropped 21 on during a 21-point win last week? Not only that but Wilson's gotten to 21 points in 10 of her last 12?
The only concern here is the Aces – coming off a surprising six-point loss to the Los Angeles Sparks at home – blow out the Dream and Wilson doesn't get the usage. She's gotten 21 or more following a loss two or three times, and both were in double-digit victories.
Wilson's too good and the sample size is too large, so I gotta play it.
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 159.5 -110 / -110 | +142 |
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 159.5 -110 / -110 | -176 |
Jewell Loyd, Over 22.5 Points (-142)
Loyd hasn't been as explosive as she was earlier this season.
She just scored 31 against the Lynx on Saturday, her first such performance since Aug. 5. Though, her last four 30-point efforts have all come on 40% shooting or less.
Her points prop, regularly at 25.5 or 24.5 earlier this season, is now just 22.5 on FanDuel. Feels like an over, which they're telling you by setting the juice at -142. Additionally, I'd stop short of calling the Sky an amazing defense.
Bottom line is, even with Loyd's struggles, the volume is still there – eight or more 3-point attempts in five of her last seven, 23 or more points in two of three and five of eight, and while she's shooting 35% since July 8, she's averaging 22.4 points during that stretch, and that's all we care about tonight.
I like this over up to 23.5, given that it's listed 24.5 elsewhere.
