Chiefs vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2023

Chiefs at Vikings

8:25 pm • CBS

Kansas City Chiefs

9-0

27 - 20

Minnesota Vikings

7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs 9-0	-3.5-105	o52.5-110	-176
Vikings 7-2	+3.5-115	u52.5-110	+148

Sunday 8:25 p.m.

October 08, 2023

U.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis

MIN +400 (Live)

0.5u

Cupcake sprinkle for the kids

C.Bynum o7.5 Tackles + Ast-105

0.95u

MIN +2.5 (1H)-110

1.5u

Over 52.5-110

1.1u

Over 52.5-108

0.3u

A.Mattison u3.5 Recs-175

R.Rice o33.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer+290

0.73u

MIN +3.5-115

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer+250

1.25u

Tied with Travis Kelce for lead in red zone targets among Chiefs skills players. Perfect matchup for Rice and feels like he is being priced too low for a WR1/WR2 with Patrick Mahomes at QB.

P.Mahomes o26.5 Pass Comp-124

$50.00

Tailing Royal

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer+290

1.45u

Via Brian Matthews

K.Osborn Anytime TD Scorer+330

@GDAWG5000

MIN +3.5-105

3.15u

MIN +3.5-110

Under 52.5-110

0.91u

Over 52.5-110

@Stuckey2

MIN +4-108

Must play, these lines will hit 70% of the time

MIN +3.5-110

2.2u

Pay your wife’s boyfriends bar tab mega nuke

J.Watson o13.5 Longest Reception-115

0.43u

J.Watson o15.5 Rec Yds-120

0.42u

A.Mattison u16.5 Rec Yds-120

Saw season-low 43% route participation with Akers active for first time. KC allowing 6th fewest receiving yards to RBs.

Under 53-110

0.91u

KC o27.5-112

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-bets-every-game-every-team-week-5-preview

P.Mahomes 4+ Passing Touchdowns+540

0.25u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-bets-every-game-every-team-week-5-preview

T.Hockenson o5.5 Recs-130

0.5u

Via @PropBetGuy

T.Hockenson o5.5 Recs-125

1.25u

Analysis to come.

P.Mahomes o25.5 Pass Comp-125

0.8u

Sniper battle on rust 1 v 1 quick scopes

P.Mahomes o25.5 Pass Comp-125

K.Osborn Anytime TD Scorer+330

Bet at FanDuel. Would play to +260. Playing all 2-receiver sets and 90% of snaps. Scored in 2/4 games. For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show at 11:30am ET on Sunday.

MIN +3.5-110

$110.00

MIN +3.5-105

MIN +5.5-110

Available at FanDuel. This is a lot of points for a home team to catch, especially when they're not as bad as their record suggests. That's the case with the Vikings, who are still 15th in my power rankings despite their poor start. Kansas City hasn't exactly set the world ablaze yet, either, and that's what you need to justify a 5.5-point spread on the road. My model makes the Chiefs 2.62-point favorites, so getting +5.5 on the Vikings is enough for me to pull the trigger.

Featured Insight
The Chiefs ran 20.0% offensive plays in the red zone last week -- tied for 10th-best in NFL. Vikings allowed their opponent to run 21.0% of plays in the red zone last week -- tied for eighth-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Vikings are averaging 4.7 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season -- ninth-best in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 6.4 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right to RBs this season -- second-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Vikings are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Vikings are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Vikings are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Vikings' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Vikings' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Vikings	6-3	3-1	2-2	3-3	3-0
Chiefs	4-4-1	2-3	2-1-1	3-4-1	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Vikings	3-6	1-3	2-2	2-4	1-2
Chiefs	4-5	3-2	1-3	4-4	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Vikings	7-2	N/A	N/A	4-2	3-0
Chiefs	9-0	N/A	N/A	8-0	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	@CAR	W 21-13	-4.5 W	U 46.5	MIN -215
Sep 24th	LAC	L 24-28	-0.5 L	U 52.5	LAC -110
Sep 15th	@PHI	L 28-34	+5.5 L	O 48.5	PHI +200
Sep 10th	TB	L 17-20	-4 L	U 44.5	TB -198
Aug 26th	ARI	L 17-18	+1 L	U 38	ARI +104

Hollywood Brown
WR
Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.
Out
Isiah Pacheco
RB
Isiah Pacheco set to miss "real time" with fibula fracture, per Ian Rapoport.
Out
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out

Dalton Risner
G
Risner is questionable with back
Questionable
Gabriel Murphy
OLB
Murphy is out with knee
Out
Taki Taimani
DE
Taimani is out with ankle
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chiefs

Total

Vikings

333

Total Yards

329

Total Plays

5.2

Yards Per Play

4.8

Chiefs

Passing

Vikings

281

YDS

284

31/41

Comps/Atts

29/47

6.186

YPA

5.18

2/0

TDs/INTs

2/0

2/15

Sacks/Yards

3/25

Chiefs

Rushing

Vikings

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.19

YPC

3.889

TDs

Chiefs

Turnovers

Vikings

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chiefs

Efficiency

Vikings

3/3 100%

Redzone

2/4 50%

9/15 0%

3rd Down

6/14 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

4/5 0%

Chiefs

First Downs

Vikings

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chiefs

Misc

Vikings

10/86

Penalties/Yards

4/51

31:59

Possession

28:01

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MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs 9-0	o27.5-125	u27.5+105
Vikings 7-2	o24.5-104	u24.5-120

Chiefs vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2023

Chiefs at Vikings

Kansas City Chiefs

Minnesota Vikings

Chiefs at Vikings Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Chiefs

Vikings

Chiefs vs. Vikings Previews & Analysis

Our 7 Best Bets for the Sunday NFL Late Slate

Chiefs vs. Vikings: Expect Fireworks, Target the Over

Gallant's Week 5 ATD Picks & Game Previews

Raybon's Top Prop Bet for Chiefs-Vikings

Chiefs vs. Vikings Props

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Chiefs vs. Vikings Public Betting Percentages

Chiefs

Public

Vikings

Bets%

Money%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Chiefs vs. Vikings Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

Vikings Injuries

Chiefs vs. Vikings Odds Comparison

Chiefs at Vikings Team Totals