NBA picks and predictions for Saturday, February 10 includes seven bets on six games from this massive, 11-game slate.
Our analysts have picks on Thunder vs. Mavericks, Bulls vs. Magic, Grizzlies vs. Hornets, Cavaliers vs. Raptors, Pacers vs. Knicks and the marquee matchup of the night, a nationally televised affair between the Suns and Warriors.
Continue reading below for our NBA best bets for Saturday, Feb. 10.
NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Saturday, Feb. 10
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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  | 3 p.m. | |
| 3 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
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  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 8:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Thunder vs. Mavericks
By Chris Baker
These are two top-six offenses and both teams rank top-10 in pace, so I’m not sure why this number is so low.
The Mavericks will be without their best defender and rim-protector in Dereck Lively II and I wouldn’t expect Daniel Gafford to play extensively in his Mavericks debut. When Lively has been off the floor this season, the Mavericks have a poor, 119.8 defensive rating.
The Mavs also do not have a good answer for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on defense. SGA should be able to live in the paint and get to his mid-range spots here.
We also have Jalen Williams and Isaiah Joe returning. Williams has become the second fiddle to SGA and Joe is arguably the most impactful bench player in the NBA. The Thunder offense is +7.2 points better per 100 possessions with Joe on the court.
On the flip side of the ball, the Mavericks' offense continues to be unreal when Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are on the floor together as they have a 122.7 offensive rating in those scenarios. When those two have been on and Lively and Grant Williams are off, the Mavs have a 133.2 offensive rating and a poor, 121.6 defensive rating across a 337 possession sample size.
Additionally, we get a Mavs offense that ranks second in 3-point attempt rate going up against a Thunder defense that allows the sixth-most three pointers. Ultimately, there are plenty of edges for each team and there aren’t any concerns about pace so I’ll back the over at up to 242.
Pick: Over 239
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Thunder vs. Mavericks
Derrick Jones Jr. scored 18 points against a depleted Knicks frontline on Thursday, so this line feels inflated. Otherwise, he hasn't gone over 8.5 points since January 13.
Moreover, we're expecting the debut of Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington as Dallas Mavericks, both of whom will occupy the frontcourt, and some offense, in their new situation.
I don't think a ton of points will be there for Derrick Jones Jr., barring a fluke.
Pick: Derrick Jones Jr. Under 8.5 Points
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Bulls vs. Magic
By Joe Dellera
The Magic take on the Bulls today and it’s a matchup against his old team for Wendell Carter Jr.
Since he was traded to Orlando, Carter has smashed in this matchup against Nikola Vucevic. He is averaging 19.5 points and 3.1 assists in eight games and has exceed this line in every single one. He has also hit the 20+ in six of the eight.
I like the combo stat here instead of points because WCJ has one dime in each of these eight games against Vucevic but he also has one in 24 of 26 games this season. Considering the combo is just one stat higher than the straight points line, I like adding the assists on top.
I expect WCJ to exceed his PA line today, and would also sprinkle him for 20+.
Pick: Wendell Carter Jr. Over 12.5 Points + Assists
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Grizzlies vs. Hornets
By Joe Dellera
Brandon Miller and the Hornets host the Memphis Grizzlies and I like him to be a sniper from deep tonight.
Miller takes the majority of his 3s from above the break and is shooting 40% from deep on those looks. While Memphis does a solid job of limiting corner 3s, they surrender above-the-break 3s at the fifth-highest frequency in the league and their opponents shoot 37.8% from there, which is seventh-best.
Over the last two weeks, Memphis has had the sixth-worst defensive rating and this presents a solid opportunity for Miller.
I like him to make three or more 3s, a number he’s cleared in nine of his last 15 games.
Pick: Brandon Miller Over 2.5 3-Pointers
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Cavaliers vs. Raptors
While we could’ve predicted a dropoff in the Raptors’ performance following their trade of OG Anunoby, I’m not sure we expected them to struggle as much as we’ve seen in the rebounding department.
Before the trade, the Raptors ranked seventh in rebounds with 45 per game. But since his departure, Toronto’s dropped to 26th with an average of 41.
Cleveland’s Max Strus is a player who could certainly take advantage of Toronto’s recent struggles on the boards. The 6-foot-5 guard is a capable rebounder, averaging 5.1 per game this season.
Thus, I was surprised to see a rebounding prop of 3.5 for the fourth-year pro. It’s worth noting that Strus has gone over this number in nine of his last 10 games. Moreover, he’s averaging 8.5 rebounds in two games against the Raptors this season.
Strus gives the Cavaliers a bit of everything, as he’s always in the mix to dish out a few assists.
As a result, I like the thought of playing Strus over his rebounding pop while also playing a combo with his rebounds + assists, which is set at 6.5.
I’ll look to play both as individual legs while also combining them as part of a same-game parlay.
Pick: Max Strus Over 3.5 Rebounds | Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (Also SGP Those Two Bets)
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Pacers vs. Knicks
By Joe Dellera
The Pacers and the Knicks face off today in the Garden and one player who looks to be getting back to his pre-injury self is Tyrese Haliburton.
Haliburton has played limited minutes since his return to action but saw his minutes climb from 22 to 29 against the Rockets and 26 against the Warriors. He racked up 11 assists on 17 potentials against the Warriors, which is much closer in line to his full-season numbers of 11.7 on 19.6 potentials (league leader).
Considering the Pacers do not play again until Monday, I think we should see more minutes from Haliburton. When he has played at least 25 minutes, he has eclipsed this line in 30 of 36 games. Even if we cap it between 25 and 30 minutes, he’s cleared in five of eight while averaging 10.3 dimes per game.
Haliburton has balled at the Garden, and last season in normal minutes he tallied 10 and 7, then this year on December 30th he had an absurd 23 assists in New York. Additionally, 10 days ago on a minutes limit he dished out five on 15 potentials.
The 8.5 is too low for a facilitator as elite as Haliburton, and I’ll back him to exceed his assists prop today. I also don’t hate a sprinkle on Double-Double as well.
Pick: Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Assists
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Suns vs. Warriors
By Chris Baker
The Suns will not have an answer for Steph Curry here and he should torture Jusuf Nurkic in drop coverage all night. The Suns have zero viable defenders to match up with him unless they want to play Josh Okogie for 48 minutes.
Additionally, the Suns have played the easiest schedule of opposing offenses while the Warriors' offense has played the second most difficult schedule of opposing defenses. This Suns defense might be worse than the raw data indicates and the Warriors' offense is likely underrated.
On the flip side of the ball, this is starting to look like an unstoppable offense in Phoenix, and Devin Booker and Bradley Beal should have plenty of space with Curry and Klay Thompson guarding them.
The emergence of Grayson Allen as a borderline fourth star and playmaker (14 assists to zero turnovers last game) has made this Suns' offense unguardable. The Warriors will have issues here and I don’t expect Gary Payton II to play meaningful minutes in his first game back.
The Warriors have also ramped up their pace massively since Draymond Green returned to the lineup so there should be plenty of possessions in this one.
Bet the over here given the edges for both offenses. I think this should be closer to 245.
Pick: Over 241
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