Wizards vs. Spurs Odds & Betting Predictions - November 14, 2024

What if I told you Barnes has been over this mark in 5 of his last 6? Would it scare you away? I'd get that, but let's dig deeper, like we always do. Over these last six games, he's averaging 2.2 assists per game, but only 3.3 potential assists per game. That sort of conversion rate is not sustainable. Barnes is primarily an outside shooter so he tends to sit in the corners and isn't heavily involved in the rotation (hence the low assist line). The Wizards still run with plenty of pace, but like I said, Barnes isn't touching the ball from a distribution perspective much. Of SAS players with at least 25+ minutes on average, Barnes ranks last in passes made (29.7) and passes received (22.8). Not to mention with a spread of 10, we could easily see reduced minutes bc of a blowout.

Going back to this one even after Poole burned me last game for 5 rebounds and 6 assists against a Rockets team that has allowed the fewest assists per game this season. On the season, Poole is averaging 2 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. The return of Kyle Kuzma does give Poole more assist upside but should also take away his rebound chances. We also saw the Wizards start Bub Carrington last game, which should also take away some rebound and assist upside from Poole, as Carrington has the ball in his hands plenty. Poole has to face a Spurs defense that has allowed the 2nd-fewest assists per game (23) and the 9th-fewest rebounds per game (42.1). San Antonio is also quietly 8th in defensive efficiency and plays at the 6th-slowest pace. In prior seasons, we've been used to the Spurs being this leaky defense, but that hasn't been the case so far. Playing on Sleeper. If I lose again to this just send me the “he can’t keep getting away with this” gif.

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Washington’s defensive woes, allowing over a hundred points per game, have fueled a five-game losing streak, marked by poor rebounding and frequent second-chance points for opponents. San Antonio’s offense, led by Wembanyama’s range and strong shooting from players like Vassell and Johnson, threatens to exploit Washington’s defense. Despite inconsistency, Washington's scorers Poole and Kuzma could spark offense, setting up a high-scoring clash due to both teams’ defensive inefficiency.